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Poll on the EU… October 27, 2011

Posted by WorldbyStorm in European Politics, Irish Politics.
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Had to smile at the news during the week that the ‘Public is in no mood to amend Lisbon deal’. This on foot of an Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI poll which revealed that:

When asked how they would vote on an amendment to the Lisbon Treaty to extend the powers of the EU to deal with the financial crisis, 47 per cent said they would vote No; 28 per cent said they would vote Yes; and 25 per cent were undecided.

Only 47 per cent? Hmmm…

One has to hand it both to the EU and our governments past, managing to turn ever increasingly larger tranches of the Irish electorate towards an euro-critical position, though not outright scepticism, is no small achievement given the good will shown to the project over the decades. But then the project changed across those decades. And support for membership remains strong.

On the other hand, when asked if it was better to be part of the EU or not to be part of it, there was still strong support for Ireland’s membership of the European Union, with an increase in those saying it was better to be part of the union since the last Irish Times poll on October 4th.

The result was 67 per cent (up two points) saying it was better to be part of the EU; 23 per cent (down two points) saying it was not; and 10 per cent having no opinion.

That’s not that surprising, given the disconnect with our indigenous political establishment. Perhaps, despite its flaws and faults, the EU seems a little less compromised. But bad news for the Government should the frankly incomprehensible pressure from points various in Europe attempt to put forward treaty amendments. That’s one referendum that looks like it will go down in flames – unless there are some fairly strong inducements for it to do otherwise.

Astoundingly though there are the following findings:

In party terms, Fianna Fáil voters are most supportive of a treaty change, closely followed by Fine Gael voters. Sinn Féin voters are the most hostile, followed by Labour voters.

Fianna Fáil voters most supportive? Well, I guess that there aren’t that many of them around any longer so who knows how representative they actually are.

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1. The Democratic Post-Mortem « I . D O U B T . I T/ - October 31, 2011

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