The first poll of the new Dáil – same old same old March 12, 2016Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
A new opinion poll suggests there would only be minor changes to the general election outcome if voters were asked to go to the polls again.
The Sunday Business Post RED C poll found the results would be largely the same for most of the political parties.
Compared to the General Election, Fine Gael support rose to 27% – that is up one point.
Fianna Fáil support also rose by one point to 25%.
Sinn Féin also saw a one-point increase in support in this poll – bringing it to 15%.
Labour support fell by three points to 4% but the Independent Alliance’s support increased by one point to 5%.
The Social Democrats are also on 5%, that is up two percentage points. But Independents dropped by four points to 9%.
The Anti Austerity Alliance-People Before Profit group are unchanged on 4% as are the Greens on 3%.
There is a 3% margin of error in this poll.
I’m not hugely surprised. I think FF would be taking a significant risk at this point to think they’d benefit from a second election. I’d put it this way. Why do they think that those who voted X this time around will be persuaded to vote Y – particularly for some notional ‘national interest’. It smacks of Lisbon. And worse given that there is a governing option there in front of us and available at this moment, it smacks of complete opportunism. I also wonder are FF overdoing the ‘we won’ kind of stuff. It may well play well within them – but for those outside it seems remarkably, almost absurdly, triumphalist and inappropriate.
Be interesting to see if this softens coughs.