A former Minister writes a sensible piece on government formation… March 15, 2016Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
Michael McDowell writes basic good sense in the SBP this weekend on foot of the latest poll. He notes that FF should think again if it is resolved to force another election. For the poll suggests a ‘clear majority of voters want a stable inter-party government to take office’. Only a fifth want a minority government – slightly less than as he describes them ’those masochist voters who just want a re-run of the election’.
Worse again only a small minority of FF supporters want a re-run. And a reverse Tallaght Strategy – not popular either.
McDowell argues that a ‘snap re-run of the election would probably produce a similar result.’ Crucially he notes something of a flaw that I think sits at the heart of some FF analyses…
Even if support for Inds would fall in that scenario (which is by no means clear), a re-run would most likely not produce a radically different set of post-election choices for FF. They could conceivably come back with fewer seats and a weaker bargaining position than they have at present.
And he suggests something else…
The electorate would punish very severely any party which they see as causing another general election for narrow party advantage.
Is that reality going to sink in with FF supporters and members and so on? Perhaps the SBP poll itself will give pause for thought.
He makes a further interesting point… both FF and FG ‘sought notes on the basis of being realistic parties of government: neither of them sought votes on the basis of staying in opposition’. So logically if the public now wants them to work together so they must.
I think what he says is persuasive. The real question is whether those who need to take account of it are in any position to do so.