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Tories split….. March 19, 2016

Posted by irishelectionliterature in Irish Politics.

Paul Mason has a piece here on Iain Duncan Smiths resignation . An interesting piece of analysis. Is it possible that the Tories have actually gone too far with austerity even for their own supporters? Will it make Corbyns position more solid? Will anyone else follow? How connected is the row to the split over the Brexit Referendum ?


1. sonofstan - March 19, 2016

I was with him until he posited ‘the conscience of a Tory minister’.

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2. CL - March 19, 2016

First the U.S Republican crack-up. Now the Tories. It couldn’t happen to more despicable people.


3. An Cathaoirleach - March 20, 2016

Somehow I think this John Rentoul piece from the London Independent is a much more accurate piece that Mason’s


The kicker is in the final paragraph, “Duncan Smith’s departure confirms that politics is now a battle between Conservatives. That means that the centre of gravity of British politics is further to the right than it has been for a long time.”

The over-representation problem thrown up by a first past the post system has suited the British LP, with many of their MPs elected for constituencies with much smaller numbers of voters. The redrawing of the constituencies to approximately equal sizes (of voters) will cost them dearly. The most under-represented voters are those who cast their support for UKIP.

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An Cathaoirleach - March 20, 2016

The degree of their problems is best represented in this spreadsheet



Ed - March 22, 2016

“Somehow I think this John Rentoul piece from the London Independent is a much more accurate piece …”

LOL! Thanks for the giggle. Rentoul, of course, is an ultra-Blairite of unusually slavish devotion to his hero (he even goes the extra mile, supporting Blair’s work on behalf of the Egyptian and Saudi dictatorships, which most people of similar disposition would blanch at). He still thinks the Iraq war was a great triumph. The idea that he could provide any remotely objective analysis of the current state of the Labour Party is strictly for the birds. The Blairites at Westminster and on the comment pages of the liberal press have one great idea: the best way to oppose Cameron and Osborne is not to oppose them at all. One is reminded of Baldrick’s ‘I have a cunning plan’ line (sadly, Tony Robinson proved to be an ultra-Blairite in real life himself). The notion that the Tories would be under more pressure over unpopular spending cuts if they were facing an opposition leader who supported all of those cuts is interesting to say the least.

I picked up the Metro on the Tube to work today and there was a brief story about Chukka Umunna plaintively looking for attention and saying that Labour needed to ‘understand people’s concerns’ about immigration. More brilliant political tactics from the Blairites: the Tories are under strong pressure over their handling of the economy, perhaps more so than at any time since 2010; they are being accused of both injustice (which is familiar) and incompetence (much less so), the figures are looking very bad for Osborne of late. And the great minds of the British centre-left think the best line to push at this moment is a repackaged version of Ed Miliband’s ‘tough of immigration’ mugs. These guys really couldn’t strategize their way out of a paper bag. Not even if the bag was on fire.

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4. British Conservatives get 0,8% of votes in Wales | Dear Kitty. Some blog - April 2, 2016

[…] Tories split….. […]


5. Opinion – 18 people Brexit campaigners think they’re smarter than over the EU – Chris Bryant – Mirror Online – John Gelmini « Dr Alf's Blog - April 5, 2016

[…] Tories split….. […]


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