Another former Minister writes… on government formation April 20, 2016Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
Michael McDowell, for it is he, writing in the SBP is scathing about both FG and FF. He regards one as exhibiting a lack of appetite ‘for any taoiseach not called Enda’ and the other for its ‘cute hoor mindset’. He argues the latter have not engaged in ‘clever politics’ both in ultimatums to the Independents (in terms of supporting either of the somewhat larger parties) or their refusal to engage in a partnership administration. FG he chastises for looking ‘weak and indecisive’. Thinking back to the visuals of the ‘government’ benches the other day in the Dáil there’s something in that. Literally.
Interestingly he notes that FF’s objection to an FG-LP lash up was ‘inexplicable’ because, he says, that FF itself was ‘courting’ the LP. I hadn’t realised that.
He seems to argue that there’s a slim chance of partnership with FF if Kenny is dumped by FG. Can’t see it happening.
All things considered he seems to think a snap election in the next 18 months is likely. And yet again he bangs the drum of the ‘likelihood of a pop-up centre/centre right party emerging to seek a seat in every constituency (i.e. 40 seats) on the express policy platform that they will forma government in the national interest with any ideologically compatible party or parties. That development might spell big trouble fro the exiting political order – including FG, FF and the independents’.
His argument being that if FF and FG don’t step up to the plate now, well, events may move on. Obviously given the news nominations for Taoiseach aren’t likely to occur today that takes on a pressing aspect.
And you know, he may have a bit of a point. We’ve seen near enough astro-turf parties or formally small right of centre blossom in not dissimilar circumstances in Europe where the pre-existing order (and in particular centre right rule) was threatened. And I think he’s correct that an electorate tired of FF and FG might split in some numbers (though I’d think they’d be lucky to get 10 or so seats) to such a formation. But I think it would take time for such a group to be established and so on. The Independents seem safer than they did two weeks back. So, it’s an outside possibility.
But if there’s anything about the present time it is surely the unpredictability of events.