Brexit/Bremain Polling June 10, 2016Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
The FT Brexit poll tracker was Stay 45%, Leave 43% when I wrote this. It’s unscientific. But there we have it.
The Economist Brexit poll tracker… 43 Leave/42 Remain, but that was from earlier in the week.
Some intriguing volatility in the polls, swinging between 52% Remain and 48% Leave (a majority of those polled in each case). What’s odd is how telephone and online polls seem to have different outcomes.
Check out the Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland polling data. Almost certainly Scotland and Northerrn Ireland will deliver Remains. Wales. Slightly harder to call?
Whatever about the referendum itself the accuracy of polling will be fascinating to see.
Interesting listening to the Guardian political podcast the point was made that even a narrow defeat of Leave could really hurt Cameron in relation to the Tory party. Heheh…
Mind you, another point made was that no one was making a case for Europe as distinct from making a case against leaving. There’s room there for a real left vision of Europe – one rooted in internationalism (for example, how to build links with a UK outside the EU is something that has to be considered. It’s not going to be made easier if the dominant narrative is one where the UK is apart from Europe). But perhaps in the febrile environment of UK politics that’s simply not feasible.