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It’s not just about Brexit… Spain votes today June 26, 2016

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
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And here are some of the details on that from wiki, including polling on the issue [which can be seen here]. A chance, just a chance, to break the stalemate and deliver a left of centre government? We’ll see.

Any thoughts?

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1. Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016
2. Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

One of the strengths of the Unidos Podemos approach is that they represent a genuine coalition.

As well as the national parties of Izquierda Unida and the environmentalist EQUO, there are a host of forces responding to particular regional realities – like La Marea (the tide) in Galicia and En Comú Podem (In common we can) in Catalonia.

But Spain is gerrymandered to the hilt – rural small town votes (mainly for the PP) count for twice those of urban votes.

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Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

I meant all of the above are going to polls under the Unidos Podemos banner, in case that wasn’t clear.

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3. Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

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4. ar scáth a chéile - June 26, 2016

This is a fascinating election. A big test for the viability of the left anti-austerity movement in Europe. It really is one we should be watching very closely. There’s more to life than Brexit after all !

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lamentreat - June 26, 2016

Striking how little coverage it is getting in the mainstream British and Irish media. I try not to be taken aback at the steep decline of the Guardian, for example, but still end up shocked that they’ve barely had anything on it.

But that’s another story than the election itself, which really is absolutely fascinating as you say.

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5. benmadigan - June 26, 2016

fingers crossed for the podemos coalition – i’m feeling hopeful!

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Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

Yea – I’ve got the feeling they might do a bit better than the polls predict. That’s probably jinksed them properly.

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6. Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

El Pais reporting the participation is up to 7% down.

The polls close at the remarkably early time of 20:00 – in 1.5 hours time.

There should be exit polls shortly thereafter.

Didn’t think Ireland did at all bad – one goal against the home team.

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7. Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

I’d forgotten that el Pais has an English feed…

Here you go…

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8. Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

A uniquely Spanish question about the turnout:

“Is it disinterest or just the siesta?”

The weather isn’t that hot – 34 degrees in La Mancha.

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9. Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

I seem to have jinxed it – turnout down in Barca & Madrid.

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10. paulculloty82 - June 26, 2016

Last time, this site was updated in real-time with the results, so should go live at 7 our time:

http://resultados2016.infoelecciones.es/99CO/DCO99999TO.htm?lang=es

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11. Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

Early exit polls say PP have won with PSOE overtaken by Unidos Podemos.

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12. Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

Only PP and PSOE or UP and PSOE coalitions possible.

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13. Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

Assuming, with reasonable certainty that PP&UP won’t happen.

Cuidadanos down by a couple of points.

UP at 25% which is about right with pre-election polling. PSOE at about 22%

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14. Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

PP win only possible by gerrymandering – see above.

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15. Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

Finally found a TV stream that works (in Spanish):

https://actualidad.rt.com/en_vivo

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Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

Russia Today – YMMV. Now it’s Chomsky. Can’t find another decent live feed. El Pais servers groaning under the strain.

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16. Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

Worst election turnout since the Franco dictatorship.

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Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

A warning there for those who attempt to replay elections (or indeed referenda).

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17. Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

Second exit poll confirmed the above more or less, with the fake movement Cuidadanos down to 12%, gratifyingly.

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Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

So Cuidadanos did nothing more than take away votes from the PP this time – they won’t be relevant in coalition negotiations and will probably fade away.

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18. paulculloty82 - June 26, 2016

With a third of the vote counted, PP are up eight seats on 131, Socialists up two, and Podemos’ various tickets are a combined 69. Ciudadanos down to 27 seats.

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paulculloty82 - June 26, 2016

Edit, that leaves PSOE on 92.

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Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

Those are, I assume, projections on the basis of the votes counted.

Bit different from the exit polls.

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19. paulculloty82 - June 26, 2016

Both Podemos and Ciudadanos climbing slightly with later returns:

http://resultados2016.infoelecciones.es/99CO/DCO99999TO.htm?lang=es

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20. paulculloty82 - June 26, 2016

With 95% of votes counted, looks like a PP-Ciudadanos minority coalition:

PP 137 (+14)
PSOE 85 (-5)
Unidos Podemos 71 (-)
Ciudadanos 32 (-8)

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WorldbyStorm - June 26, 2016

Worst of all worlds really. Thanks Paul for the figures, though.

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21. Gewerkschaftler - June 26, 2016

Very disappointing – how would such a minority coalition work, I wonder?

PP-PSOE are the only possible majority coalition, given the others are Basques and Catalans.

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ar scáth a chéile - June 26, 2016

Something of an anti-climax for Unidos Podemos it seems but am taking consolatiion from the plastic citizens party , Ciudadanos, not doing very well.

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An Cathaoirleach - June 27, 2016

Rajoy is in a powerful position, opposition will not want another election. The additional two seats in Madrid with Podemos & allies losing must have been particularly sweet. PNV will have no problem with Rajoy as long as he leaves them alone to run Basque territories.

The other problem for Podemos is it “borrowed” secessionist votes promising plebiscites, which they cannot now deliver. Those votes are likely to return to Bildu or Catalan parties.

They lasted longer than Corbyn will.

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