Plan B? What Plan B? July 8, 2016Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
Speaking to someone with a good working knowledge of matters relating to the Border and CTA their attitude was that if an ROI government came out with the line it hadn’t prepared contingency plans for something equivalent to a Brexit they’d be hauled over the coals by the electorate and political forces in the state. I think that’s probably correct – at the least they’d get a roasting, whereas there appears to be a wider gulf between government and the expectations of government in the UK that perhaps is a consequence of larger populations, first past the post and such like. Or perhaps the fact Cameron fell on his sword and it has been quick sharp on to the Tory leadership election that has deflected such criticism. But then, then, Osborne remains as Chancellor as of today and he appears to be evading responsibility in an almost uncanny way.
Anyhow it really is unconscionable that such a fundamentally important decision to the United Kingdom was made in what appears to be a near vacuum as regards preparation. Now this isn’t to say that some plans don’t exist somewhere, but rather that there’s been no clear path forward. Instead the sense of London standing back as the Tory party leadership process kicked into gear is very strong. It genuinely appears to be a case of state being second to party.
Of course what it also implies is a completely incorrect belief that the referendum would be won by Cameron (and this, by the way appears to have been the belief held far and wide). But one doesn’t function as a state on the assumption that matters will proceed the way one wishes (or covertly wishes as appears to have been the case for at least some on the Leave side).
Just on that, albeit from a tangent, what’s the bets on the UK running ‘advisory’ referendums in the future? I imagine they’ll be avoided like the plague if at all possible.