A nation once again, after Brexit? Well, perhaps, maybe, someday July 17, 2016Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
Micheál Martin throwing some fairly contingent stuff out today, according to the Guardian:
The leader of Ireland’s main opposition party said he hopes Brexit will move Ireland closer to reunification.
Micheál Martin said a reunification referendum should be called if it becomes clear a majority want to see an end to Irish partition over the UK decision to leave the EU.
The Fianna Fáil leader added that Northern Ireland’s 56% majority vote to remain within the bloc could be a defining moment for the region. He made his remarks delivering the annual John Hume lecture at the MacGill Summer School in Glenties, Co Donegal.
There’s a bit of aspirational rhetoric:
The remain vote may show people the need to rethink current arrangements. I hope it moves us towards majority support for unification, and if it does we should trigger a reunification referendum.
But he has to admit:
However, at this moment the only evidence we have is that the majority of people in Northern Ireland want to maintain open borders and a single market with this jurisdiction, and beyond that with the rest of Europe.
I think he’s both right and wrong. Wrong in so far as – at this point they remain two separate issues. Right in that in the future, following Brexit and possible ramifications of same on this island, the CTA and – and this I think might be even more important, some sort of serious push to Scottish independence, or even a semi-detached position for Scotland in the UK, things may change.
But that latter is still a while away and it seems dependent upon a range of matters going fairly specific ways. If there’s one thing the past is a guide to in relation to such issues it is that that little or nothing is predictable.