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Why Wicklow? September 15, 2016

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.

I know it’s sort of fluff but I’m genuinely fascinated by the Stephen Donnelly situation. And the point was made that he is the first TD in the 32nd Dáil to change his affiliation.

What possessed him? Looking at his constituency it’s hard to believe he’d really go for FG, though talking to someone who knows these things apparently he hasn’t stinted in his praise of Simon Coveney. But there are two FG TDs in WIcklow, and the idea there’d be room for three seems optimistic. There have been boundary changes and it is a remarkably fluid constituency. In 2002 there were two FF TDs, one LP, 1 FG (Billy Timmins no less) and an Independent, that being Mildred Fox.

2007 saw 2 FF again, 1 LP and 2 FG. 2011 and there were 3FG, 1 LP and 1 Independent, that being Donnelly. And now? 2FG, 1 SF, 1, FF and Donnelly again.

The best that could be said is that the past seems no guide as to the future in this particular locale. Does Donnelly go for FF? That would seem a better bet. But would they want him? For he strikes me as not entirely dissimilar to … and one has to wonder what party could hold him. But then, what about the Independent slot? Indeed Noel Whelan in the Irish Times seemed entirely dismissive of Donnelly joining the Soliders of Destiny.

If this were about seat preservation surely the SDs would be his best bet, or am I misreading this? Of course, if it is about being on a larger stage, politically, how well will that play in a larger party? FG is stuffed to the gills with those willing to talk about the economy. FF to a somewhat lesser extent, but still. There’s a pecking order, a line of seniority. Does another person in that vein add to the project or not?

He could, of course, wait for John Halligan to leave the government. He may, though, be waiting.

Or why doesn’t he just join the LP? Would their time in the wilderness be complete in a couple of years? Would he present a newish face? Would there be fewer rivals or competitors extant there? Could he aspire to the leadership having come from another


1. 6/5against - September 15, 2016

The premise of your post seems to be that he is a canny political operator but that, on this occasion, its hard to see exactly what his cunning-plan might be. I’m more inclined to believe that like………, he believes his own bullshit and will disappear from the scene in the not-distant future.


WorldbyStorm - September 15, 2016

That’s a very interesting point you make there. Perhaps the canniness is actually anything but.


2. irishelectionliterature - September 15, 2016

Donnelly and Simon Harris are both Greystones based so unlikely that there is room for him in FG.
FF makes sense but Pat Casey the sitting TD is an ex Independent and Donnelly added would mean the 2 TD’s would not be of the FF tradition, which is something the FF Grassroots would not be comfortable with.
He is better off staying Independent I’d imagine.


3. Joe - September 15, 2016

It says a lot though, doesn’t it, that he can sit and wait and pick and choose. FF, FG, Labour, Soc Dems, Independent for Whatever – he’ll fit into any of them, no bother. And any politician from any of those outfits would fit into the others, pretty much no bother.

I’d say that’s what he’ll do, sit and wait until an opportunity/offer to go into government presents itself.

Liked by 2 people

4. dublinstreams - September 15, 2016

no party is good enough for him, being a TD isn’t good enough for him, so much so he doesn’t turn up to most of his committees in 2015, he’s as likley to quit politics altogether as go into government https://cedarlounge.wordpress.com/2016/09/15/why-wicklow/


dublinstreams - September 15, 2016
WorldbyStorm - September 15, 2016

DS, here’s a thing, you’re the second person today I know who’s made that point about him possibly quitting entirely.


5. irishelectionliterature - September 16, 2016

Rumours that Donnelly will be making a statement about his future later today.


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