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After Brexit for the ROI January 20, 2017

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
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Interesting piece by Charlie Flanagan, Minsister for Foreign Affairs in the SBP at the weekend where he gently takes those like Tom McGurk to task for ‘misconceptions’. His says he completely disagrees with McGurk’s description of the ROI ‘having an almost impossible task’. He believes that:

Brexit itself may be complex, but the government’s objective is simple – to secure the best deal we can for Ireland and our people in the context a wider EU-British agreement. We have a sound understanding of our priorities, namely: protecting our economy; safeguarding the GFA; maintain gin the CTA with Britain; and mapping a positive direction for the EU with Ireland at its heart.

And he continues ‘this last point is key. Some writers seem to favour following Britain out of the EU ourselves, this would be nothing short of reckless gambling with our future and would be profoundly against our economic and other interests.’

And he underlines this by noting that our exports to the EU are worth more than double those to the UK. There’s another aspect too, that the UK itself appears to be in some flux (McGurk in the same issue notes Scotland and independence). Those processes appear to have quite some way to run.

Intriguingly he mentions the House of Lords report (which McGurk recently saw as the single most important document on Brexit, conveniently ignoring that it didn’t come direct from the British government)… ‘recommending that Ireland and Britain should sign a bilateral agreement. While EU member states cannot sign bilateral trade or other agreements on an individual basis, our unique relationship with Britain is recognised by our EU partners, and it may be that we will have some arrangements with Britain post-Brexit that will not apply across the board’.

Well let’s hope so.

Another intriguing point is this:

It is also a myth to say that our only close ally i the EU is Britain. this is simply not true. On many occasion we have been on opposing sides within the EU. While of course Britain leaving the EU will be a loss, over the past 40 years we have built closer relationships with all EU members states and developed alliances with EU partners across a range of policy areas… including agriculture where France is our main ally…

It is odd, and I’ve drawn attention to this before, how anglo-centric the views of so much of those who argue an Irexit seem to be. It’s almost taken as read that ‘of course we’d follow the UK’. There may be, five, ten, fifteen years down the line, good reasons to reassess our position. I think it unlikely even then that there would be a pressing case, but such analyses are useful. But to start from the point it is a near inevitability is curious.

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Comments»

1. Jim Monaghan - January 20, 2017

Minor comment “And he underlines this by noting that our exports to the EU are worth more than double those to the UK.” John Fitzgerald stated that so much of our imports and exports transit through the UK that it is difficult getting the real picture. Eg bizzarely we import and export olive oil from and to the UK. His main point was the huge amount of paperwork tat will now be involved.

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bjg - January 24, 2017

Here http://www.eureferendum.com/blogview.aspx?blogno=86355 is a view from a rational pro-Brexit person [he wanted the Efta/EEA option] on the effects of the paperwork. For Irish trade with the EU currently transiting through Britain, there will be a double dose of that.

This is not an argument in favour of Irexit per se; it is rather a hope that the Irish government will pay more heed to the practicalities than HMBrexiteers are doing. bjg

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WorldbyStorm - January 24, 2017

Excellent link bjg, much appreciated, I’m on lunch and flicking through the fkecit PDF and as you say extremely rational. That said I’m a bit struck by the fact no mention of GFA or implications of same in book. On the other hand the thinking about a brexit border is interesting – I hope he’s right!

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2. GW - January 20, 2017

Expect journalists close to British and Unionist interests to keep banging the Irexit drum for – well – tending to infinity I expect, but it will be particularly intense after Article 50 is signed.

Then Little Britain will be desperate for company.

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Jim Monaghan - January 24, 2017

Not just Pro Brit ones. Add in the CPI, Peoples Movement etc. Bizzarely the Peoples movement still think TTIP is a threat when it is dead and gone. TTIP will be replaced by even more one sided trade deals. Even the UK will see it one sided. As for Ireland, lots of free shamrock will do little. Agriculture will see ferocious competition as its edge with standards erode as Trump and May get rid of standards.

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3. sonofstan - January 24, 2017

Supreme court ruling in: TM must consult parliament but not the devolved adminisatrations

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irishelectionliterature - January 24, 2017

Hard to see them voting against it especially as Labour have said they won’t block Article 50.
Parliament looks something like this.
329 Tory MPs
229 Labour
9 pro Brexit MPs. (UKIP and DUP)
72 anti Brexit (SNP, Lib Dem, UUP, SDLP, Green, PC)
4 Inds
4 SF

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CL - January 24, 2017

‘In one important victory for the government, the court ruled that Mrs. May would not need separate approval from the regional legislatures in Northern Ireland, Scotland and Wales.’

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