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By the way… an Sunday Times/Behaviour and Attitudes poll January 22, 2017

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
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Yes, another poll this weekend.
FF 29% (+1)
FG 23% (-3)
SF 17% (-2)
NON-ALIGNED IND 15% (+6)
AAA-PBP 5% (+1)
LP 5% (NC)
GP 3% (NC)
INDEPENDENT ALLIANCE 3% (-2)
SD 1% (NC)

MOE 3.3%

All very interesting, the movement for FF is marginal, that for FG within the MOE. The rise in non-aligned independents is perhaps a little puzzling – what could possibly drive that? More on this later.

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1. Aengus Millen - January 22, 2017

I share your puzzlement on the rise of independents. This government has been shambolic with those independents on the right like shane ross being totally ineffective and those supposedly on the left like Zappone and Halligan cowardly sniping form the sidelines without holding the government to account. I understand the dislike of the traditional parties and am glad they’re sticking around the 50 percent mark but in looking for where else to send your vote independents seem like a bad choice.

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WorldbyStorm - January 23, 2017

That’s a very interesting point re inds of left – self described as such – because you’re absolutely right re Zappone who is outside the IA but in govt. re the other left inds outside govt has their profile been high recently? Doesn’t seem like it to me. It s odd isn’t it?

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Aengus Millen - January 23, 2017

I mean I think some like Catherine Connolly in galway and others make good points and are trying to raise their profile. But what worries me is that this might be a symptom of a sort of anti-ideological backlash which says rather then vote for a party either left or right (who might for example have to vote the party line on the north-south interconnecter) I’m gonna vote for an independent who has only my interests in mind.This has the joint problem of leading to more unprincipled narcissistic independents like the healy-rae’s and michael lowry and leading to more inward looking governments incapable of any sort of long time planning which is a problem irish governments already have anyway.

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WorldbyStorm - January 23, 2017

I share your concerns 100%. Individually and collectively those TDs are good, and have done some great work, but the lack of a cohesive direction means that there’s a dissipation of that work and effort. That may not matter on the level of each as an individual TD in relation to their constituency but in relation to a broader more focused resistance it is an issue I think.

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2. sonofstan - January 23, 2017

If SF are to make a breakthrough from +- 15% to 25% + outside Dublin, such that they are competing for second seats beyond Cavan-Monaghan and Louth, that ‘non-aligned’ indie vote is where a lot of it might come from.

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WorldbyStorm - January 23, 2017

That’s also a very interesting point, preferences are vital to SF and FF too. They will presumably be fishing in that vote.

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Aengus Millen - January 23, 2017

Yeah you can see that form the almost hysterical comments Martin has been making about the north and SF recently

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