Well now, another Scottish referendum comes into view… March 13, 2017Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
Finely balanced, but I think that Sturgeon may be correct to go for it now. So much is up in the air – not least in relation to a second referendum, whether London will permit it (they may not want to but if they don’t that will appear undemocratic and if they do then they implicitly accept the argument something has changed to justify it) and whether it would occur before or after Brexit (I wonder if the UK government can resist it being held sometime in the next few years?). So a lot of uncertainty here. Not sure it will pass but it will, at the least, put it up to London. Depressing to see the mixed messages coming out of the Labour Party – surely Corbyn accepts that Brexit has changed everything since the previous vote on independence? And there’s clearly a lack of communication:
Q: Have you just been playing along with the idea of accepting Brexit?
No, says Sturgeon. She says she was genuine when she called for compromise.
She told Theresa May that, she says.
But the UK government has not been willing to meet Scotland half way, she says. In fact, they have been moving further away, she says.
She says she does not even know when May will trigger article 50.
She says she spoke to May the morning of her Lancaster House speech. She asked if May would rule out staying in the single market and May told her it was not a binary choice. But two hours later May announced that the UK was leaving the single market.
May tailoring her rhetoric to her audiences…
Of course there’s another question or two. What if it fails? Then how does the SNP reconcile itself to a lack of independence, isolation from the EU and so on? Difficult not to see this as a permanent irritation for London. But difficult too for the SNP given they’ll have to wait another decade for a vote.
And what if it succeeds? It is striking to me how the rhetoric of ‘surprises in politics’ only seems to work for right-wing enterprises – so Farage et al were able to wax lyric about Brexit and Trump. But why not for a Scottish vote for independence? Yet note how the media, and others are so much more cautious over that. I think that tells us something about the nature of these dynamics.