Germany and Brexit… March 22, 2017Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
Another piece in the Observer has some thoughtful points about just why Germany is likely to be uninclined to be too easy on the UK in relation to Brexit. Christian Odendahl writes that ‘for no other country in Europe is the European project more important than it is to Germany’ and hence the project will be protected over supposed immediate economic interests – and that in relation to those Britain often overstates the reality of how strong the links between the UK and Germany. But perhaps most important is a further perception on the part of Germans that:
Brexit undermines and distracts the EU at a time of internal and external crisis. To Germany, Brexit is geopolitical vandalism. Any attempt by the UK to use its security contributions as a bargaining chip will be seen by Berlin as a further threat to Germany’s core national interests – European security – and will lose Theresa May crucial political goodwill in the negotiations. Brexit is also seen in Berlin as an act of geopolitical self-harm, Trump’s election notwithstanding: Britain has become less influential and effective, and thus less attractive as a partner.
However one looks at it, Germany does not depend more on Britain than vice versa. Any such notion is a weak basis for a negotiation. The cohesion, unity and stability of the EU are more important to Germany than anything Britain has to offer. The sooner the Brexiters realise this, the more likely is a compromise in the Brexit negotiations.
Easier said than done.