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Predictions for the UK GE April 24, 2017

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
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These from Adrian Kavanagh using the model he employs for RoI elections.

Depressing.

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1. An Sionnach Fionn - April 24, 2017

It seems that the unionist/pro-union vote in Scotland is coalescing around the Tories. They might be back with four or five seats north of the border. What was left of the Scottish Labour vote after the defections to the SNP seems to be more about pro-union sentiment than concerns about working-class solidarity.

(Yeah, you could argue that the latter is the same thing but you know what I mean.)

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2. Aengus Millen - April 24, 2017

Actually that’s probably pretty close to a best case scenario unfortunately. We’re hearing a lot of talk of a majority of over 100. If Adrian Kavanagh is right it confirms what people have been saying about many of labour’s seats being copper-fastened on the other hand that should have been true of Copeland The SNP seem to be holding up which is good though I agree with the above comment that they will lose a few seats but if they could stay in the 45-50 range they would have a solid case for a second referendum.

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3. irishelectionliterature - April 24, 2017

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