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May June 1, 2017

Posted by irishelectionliterature in Uncategorized.
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Watching from afar I hadn’t realised how central Theresa May was to the Tory Campaign. She is the campaign.
Given her performance so far in the campaign it’s quite an incredible mistake.
Electionleaflets.org has a load of UK leaflets and is well worth looking how the leaflets are Theresa May this and Theresa May that, with little or nothing given over to local candidates other than a picture of them with…….none other than Theresa May!
I assume billboards and ads in newspapers are along the same lines.
Going to be a very interesting final week and next Thursday night/Friday morning could be far more compelling viewing than we had thought a few weeks ago!

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1. Dermot O Connor - June 1, 2017

Funny how Labour (initially at least) had the opposite: let the local candidates run on their own merits, as JC wasn’t regarded so well. But JC has had a great run. Check this out – the gap between TM and the ‘unelectable’ JC is vanishing:

http://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/uk/some-uk-election-polls-show-huge-corbyn-surge-what-is-going-on-1.3104341

QUOTE: A YouGov poll of voters in London for the Evening Standard on Thursday put Labour on 50 per cent, compared to 33 per cent for the Conservatives. More alarming for the Conservatives was that, asked who would make the best prime minister, 27 per cent of Londoners picked Corbyn, compared to 34 per cent for May. UNQUOTE

Just one week to go.

Brown knickers time.

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ivorthorne - June 1, 2017

The closer it gets prior to election day, the better for May. It’ll get her vote out.

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Lamentreat - June 1, 2017

I find it quite hard to believe that 80 percent of 18–24 year olds will turn out to vote, the presumption that Yougov poll is premised on. But who knows, odd things happening these days.

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Dermot O Connor - June 1, 2017

So hard to know any more, after the failures of polls in 2015, brexit, trump, etc.; it’s clear that the pollsters are floundering on the rock of “intention to vote”. Just all over the place. I wouldn’t want to bet my life on any of them.

The only thing that seems to be constant is that the Con/Lab gap is narrowing, and the godawful LibDems are jammed on 7%, rightly so. They can wave to the ILP on their way to the scrapheap of history.

Thing is, even with the 3% CON/LAB gap in the latest yougov figures, it still gives the tories 317 seats, and Labour 254 (or about the same as they won under Miliband on 32%.

Of course, 317 seats loses the tories their majority, and would catastrophically nadshatter them, a meritorious outcome.

Theresa May became leader by standing still and doing absolutely nothing, and now the cynical woman seems to think she can win an election by doing the same:

“BREAKING Theresa May has refused to appear on @BBCRadio4’s Woman’s Hour tomorrow morning. She is sending Justine Greening.”

Tough negotiator? Are the Brits really that naive?
We’ll find out a week from now.

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Michael Carley - June 2, 2017

Whatever I might think of May’s politics, this looks like somebody falling apart in public, and I hope it’s not that.

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GW - June 2, 2017

Nadshatter – a fine new verb, Dermot. I think I get what it means.

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GW - June 2, 2017

At this stage I’d really go for May now as someone unfit to lead Brexit negotiations.

But perhaps Seamus Milne has a plan.

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Michael Carley - June 2, 2017

@GW Milne’s plan hasn’t worked out too badly so far.

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2. Joe - June 1, 2017

May has had her day. June is bursting out all over.

The missus had a saying from her mam: Marry in May and you’ll rue the day. To which a mate of ours memorably retorted: Marry in any f**king month and you’ll rue the day.

But maybe UK Labour could coin it thus for the last week of the campaign: Vote for May and you’ll rue the day.

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3. roddy - June 1, 2017

As I said before,many students from here who are studying in England have registered there for the sole purpose of voting Corbyn.They would normally be registered here at their parents homes and would be SF voters.However there seems to be a surge In England among students to vote this time and for Corbyn.

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4. Iceman - June 1, 2017

May is over.

It’s June now.

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5. sonofstan - June 2, 2017

“I assume billboards and ads in newspapers are along the same lines”

Have you ever being in Britain at election time IEL? Because compared to Ireland, the election is virtually invisible.

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irishelectionliterature - June 2, 2017

I haven’t ,although I do know they haven’t posters. We’re spoilt here so!
I’ve yet to be allowed schedule family holidays around foreign elections (although one day !!)

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Aonrud ⚘ - June 2, 2017

The ‘Theresa May and her team’ phrase is used a lot in place of ‘conservatives’. She’s also quite fond of saying ‘my team’ and ‘my manifesto’ without reference to the party.

I know there’s a general trend towards more of a US-style leadership focus in elections, but with both the media and the parties pushing it this time, it does seem to have escalated. I’ve seen a few cases of vox pops etc. where someone is asked if they’re voting for Theresa May, regardless of what constituency they’re in, so they’ve completely become metonyms for their parties.

One odd effect in a BBC article last week was the phrase “support for Gerry Adams”, rather than Sinn Féin, in reference to the NI constituencies. Not sure that quite works…

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sonofstan - June 2, 2017

Not joking, I walk/ cycle by our MPs constituency office – a shed in his back garden – and I didn’t know it was there until someone told me and I spotted the very small poster in the window of said shed. Unimaginable in Ireland, even in the safest of seats.

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6to5against - June 2, 2017

I often think when people complain about parish pump politics in Ireland that its not quite the negative its portrayed as being. It keeps politicians connected to constituents, and if at times we all despair at the issues that seem to matter to the populace at large, isn’t that just the nature of a democracy.

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sonofstan - June 2, 2017

Yeah, I agree – experiencing the distance between the politicians and the people in the Westminster system, it’s not hard to grasp a reaction like the Brexit vote. The electorate can only shout at the pols because otherwise they’d never hear them.

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6. irishelectionliterature - June 2, 2017

Trump pulling the US out of the Paris Climate Agreement is something else that could damage Theresa May. That image of herself and Trump holding hands is one we’ll be seeing more of in the coming week.
Anything to do with Trump is bad news and certainly among younger people.

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7. Michael Carley - June 2, 2017

My MP seems to consider himself barred from a local business. Good.

https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DBT3t8dXYAAA8lH.jpg:large

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8. Michael Mullan - June 2, 2017

The leaflets coming through my door in Bradford give a hint of how the management in both main parties saw things at the campaign planning stage: the Tory literature is all focused on May, as though it were a presidential contest, with only a discreet sotto voce mention of the party. The Labour stuff is all on constituency matters, without a single reference anywhere to one J. Corbyn. However, I have the impression that over the past fortnight, it’s May who has become her party’s big liability and Corbyn who has turned things around for his.

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9. sonofstan - June 2, 2017

I presume you’ve all heard this?
Number 2 in the charts – not that that means anything

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10. Dermot O Connor - June 3, 2017

Have a look at the wikipedia poll graph. Amazing, no sooner was the election on, than Labour began to move.

Brown undies, aroo aroo!

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