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The new sage of the southside… June 13, 2017

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
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Dublin that would be. Anyhow, there I was leafing through the SBP at the weekend and reading Michael McDowell’s column where he writes:

Rather than smugly remind you that I warned here in April of the political disaster with which T. may was playing when she signalled her snap election, or that I foretold her horrendous reverse and the reasons for it in this column last Sunday…

So, being a cynical person away to his website I went. And what do I find but his column from last week. And what did he write?

In the early hours of Friday morning we will know whether Theresa May’s decision to call a snap election has paid off.  When she announced her U-turn on an early election in April, I wrote here about the danger that a lengthy election campaign centring on Jeremy Corbyn’s suitability for power might produce voter fatigue, might defy expectations, and might draw forth a reaction against the Tories based on anger and resentment of British voters at the Tories’ relentless austerity policies.

 

And is this a sneaking regard for JC?

A combination of the Labour manifesto with its pork barrel promises for those on low and middle incomes and the Tories’ manifesto which hinted at further hardship for the coping classes has provided the context in which Jeremy Corbyn has somehow emerged as a dogged, populist champion of anti-establishment politics.

To an extent. Though he did ask…

All of these purely impressionistic questions matter because Tory strategy has been based on an impressionistic onslaught on Jeremy Corbyn.  The antidote to Corbyn’s semi-shaved roughness would have to be polished, suave, forceful and likeable. Does she tick those boxes sufficiently to capitalise on Corbyn’s weaknesses?

But credit where credit is due.

And in April he wrote:

 

Any general election campaign lasting six to seven weeks is fraught with risk for early favourites.  So much can change in the mood of the electorate, including the onset of monumental electoral fatigue.  While it does not now appear that anything can happen to put Jeremy Corbyn into 10 Downing Street, that does not mean that the Tories’ massive opinion poll lead might not fall victim to a general feeling of anger and resentment against the ruling establishment.

He wasn’t far wrong.

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Comments»

1. Ed - June 14, 2017

One thing I’ll give McDowell credit for: he’s a proper hard-edged right-wing ideologue who was usually happy to call a spade a spade (presumably why he ended up losing his seat twice, even in one of the most affluent constituencies in the country). And he came of political age when there was a very sharp left/right divide in politics; I’ve heard stories about him and Adrian Hardiman showing up at debates in UCD dressed in military uniform to provoke the left-wingers. So he may have a bit more sense of what’s going on when there’s a breakdown of consensus politics. Compare that with someone like Varadkar, who has a very similar political outlook but belongs to a different generation; I’d have to wonder if he’s capable of understanding the rise of new left-wing forces or responding to them with anything more coherent than ‘yah, boo, stupid hippy losers!’

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