jump to navigation

RedC/SBP Poll July 8, 2017

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
trackback

And another poll and yet again we see movement but all over shop and with the larger parties still unable to make a determined breakthrough… I cannot for the life of me see particular reasons for any of this. What is FF benefiting from at the moment, or FG not benefiting from? Why is SF up 3%, why are the SDs down 2%?

 

FG 27 (-2)

FF 24 (+3)

SF 18 (+3)

Inds 8 (-6)

IA 4 (+1)

LP 6 (NC)

Solidarity-PBP 4 (+1)

GP 4 (+1)

SD 2 (-2)

Renua – huh? – 3 (+2)

 

And why is Renua still being polled for?

 

 

Advertisements

Comments»

1. An Sionnach Fionn - July 8, 2017

why is Renua still being polled for?

Because Fine Gael or Fianna Fáil needs someone to go into coalition with other than Labour? 😉

Liked by 1 person

WorldbyStorm - July 8, 2017

Makes sense. From their perspective. Can’t see anyone under the Renua flag being elected though.

Like

dublinstreams - July 25, 2017

presumable based on the number of candidates they had at the last election.

Like

2. Dermot O Connor - July 8, 2017

SF 18 (+3)
Inds 8 (-6)
IA 4 (+1)
LP 6 (NC)
Solidarity-PBP 4 (+1)
GP 4 (+1)
SD 2 (-2)
————–
46% total
44% previous

So a 2% rise in the total non-FF/FG support (reluctantly adding Labour); all the moves within are just churn (the usual move from SF to INDs and back again); SF will really want to turn those wobblers into stickies (bada boom).

Liked by 1 person

Dermot O Connor - July 8, 2017

Also, thank god for the greens, doing their bit to keep Labour in the 6% doldrums.

Like

WorldbyStorm - July 8, 2017

I think you’re right DOC. It is marginal movements overall. I’m amazed how little FG FF are able to move upwards – or maybe I’m not 🙂

Like

Dermot O Connor - July 8, 2017

Yeah, FF and FG are hovering where they’ve been for a couple of years now. The occasional rogue poll gets them all excira and delira, then they flop back down to the yawning halfway house between their floors (20/21) and ceilings (29/30). No chance of GE on these numbers (SF would love one, 35+ seats, so even less chance given that).

The Indo’s headline was funny, calling the FG move a “nose dive” (a 2% move with a MOE of what, 3%, FFS).

Note the FG -2% and the Renua +2%, there’s always womb for improvement! No way are Renua polling 3% at the GE, and no way that much of that 2% is going to FF, so back to FG it’ll go when the abortion issue is off the table.

Depressing that none of the left / opp / proggy parties have been able to break out of the back; the seat penalty for this diffusion is horrendous.

Like

WorldbyStorm - July 8, 2017

Yeah that’s the downside, it’s difficult to break out and upwards with such a fragmented left. That said it really is putting brakes on the govt.

Interesting thought re Renua support.

Like

3. roddy - July 8, 2017

The stickies created a few “wobblers” and “hobblers” in their time too!

Like

Dermot O Connor - July 8, 2017

The hobbled the ILP well and good! 😀

Like


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: