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Minority governments… September 13, 2017

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
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Curious. Reading this from Andrew Rawnsley he made an interesting point re the current UK government that in some respects holds true for the one in this state.

This education in what it is like to be ruled by a weak government will not necessarily be short. History suggests that it could be a prolonged tutorial. Minority administrations exist in constant fear of defeat and yet can have long lives.

The slender majority that John Major won for the Tories in 1992 was evaporated by the steady toll of byelection losses suffered by his unpopular government. It nevertheless managed to cling on by its bitten fingernails for an entire parliament before it was put out of its misery. The Labour government of the 1970s had lasted for the best part of five years before the Callaghan minority was finally laid to rest. It is one of the paradoxes of minority governments that they can be both acutely vulnerable and remarkably durable. They are easy to wound, but much harder to kill. This could be a long night.

Already the government in the RoI has lasted considerably longer than many expected – again, I’ve long argued that the day that all the junior ministers who are on one-year incumbencies have completed them is the day to start counting down the clock. That will, of course, be around May next year.

But there is something curious about how tenacious a minority government can prove. Perhaps it is that there’s nothing more to lose and consequently staying in power is almost all there is left.

Rawnsley also notes how little is done under minority governments. Already the cry in Dublin is that little legislation is being passed (this by the by was true of the last year of the previous government too). That isn’t going to change too quickly either I’d imagine.

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1. O'Connor Lysaght - September 13, 2017

The Wilson/Callaghan parliament did pass a lot of socialistic legislation. It wasn’t able/willing to use it to benefit the class it claimed to serve in the teeth of an oil crisis which the class enemy was better able to manipulate.

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2. Jim Monaghan - September 13, 2017

Elections are expensive. I would say that many TDs specially ones who won last time on massive transfers, would not welcome an election. Though officially they are all, always, ready. Does anyone have the individual cost of an election.

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irishelectionliterature - September 13, 2017

from SIPO…

The statutory spending limits applying for the 2016 Dáil general election were the same as those in the 2011 general election:

3 seat constituency – €30,150,
4 seat constituency – €37,650, and
5 seat constituency – €45,200.
The statutory spending limit is for each candidate in a constituency and is inclusive of VAT. The statutory limit represents the maximum spending allowed on a candidate in a constituency and includes all spending by the election agent and a political party (both head office and local organisation) on a candidate. No separate or additional spending by a political party on a candidate over and above that which has been assigned to the party by the candidate is allowed.

Thats some amount of money and thats before you consider spending prior to the actual election campaign , which doesn’t fall under SIPOs remit (afaik).

This is a price list for items from The Labour Party for candidates in the 2014 Local Elections
https://irishelectionliterature.com/2013/08/27/leaflet-from-the-labour-campaign-store-with-price-list-for-all-types-of-election-material-jackets-pens-frisbees-badges-etc/

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3. GW - September 13, 2017

The fixed term rules mean that they’re potentially more durable. A British government can survive loosing a number of key votes and still carry on regardless. Cameron did.

Which makes the chances of a crash-out hard Brexit even greater. It may well take action on the streets as well as parliamentary manouvers to end this current Tory/DUP in time.

Lexiteers, however, will doubtless be hoping that the Tory/DUP government survives until Brexit is a legal fact on the ground, whatever they may otherwise say.

“Tories out!!!
soto voce: But not till we’ve gotten our fetishised Brexit :-)”

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benmadigan - September 13, 2017

or maybe it’s more
“Tories out!!!
sotto voce: But not till we’ve gotten their fetishised Brexit :-)”

The Tories own Brexit.

Maybe the British Labour Party thinks “let them get on with it”

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