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A post-Brexit UK/US trade deal? November 13, 2017

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
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A thought provoking paragraph in this from Will Hutton in the Observer this weekend. Writing about how international politics now ever increasingly appears to be a ‘strong man’ game he muses on how the UK will fare in such an environment…

…we are about to find ourself in the same relationship to the US as Canada. I am told a senior State Department Trump appointee told his staff that “the Brits are on the ropes. There are going to be some rich pickings – our job is to make sure we get them.” Helpfully, US commerce secretary, Wilbur Ross, explained what that might mean for any post-Brexit trade deal with the US at the recent CBI conference. Britain would be expected to adopt laxer, ultra business-friendly US standards and its approach to standard-setting. There was no indication of any reciprocal concession. There is no need. The Brits “are on the ropes”, so they must accept whatever is offered. The WTO is too weak to offer any help, even if it could.

That’s a cold reality.

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1. EWI - November 13, 2017

Called it.

And imagine if we found ourselves in this situation, taking our place at the bottom of the heap? Does anyone inagine that DUP-reliant Tories wouldn’t take glee in screwing us?

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2. Jim Monaghan - November 13, 2017

It an Eirexit future, I can see us being asked to give full extra territorial rights to Shannon. I can, also, seeing us giving them.

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3. CL - November 13, 2017

”Britain’s choice of whether to stick to the “European model” or strip away regulation after it leaves the EU will determine the shape of a future trade deal with the bloc, the EU’s chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier said on Thursday….
“When I hear the U.S. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross in London call on the British to diverge from Europe to better converge with others – towards less regulation, environmental, health, food and no doubt also financial, fiscal and labour regulation – I have to wonder,” Barnier said in a speech….
“It is up to the British to tell us whether they still adhere to the European model. Their answer is important because it sets the direction for the discussion on our future partnership and the conditions of its ratification,” he said.
https://www.reuters.com/article/britain-eu-model/britains-future-eu-trade-ties-hinge-on-choice-of-european-model-barnier-idUSL8N1NF8IB

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4. GW - November 13, 2017

But, but, ‘worker’s Brexit’, innit.

All manner of things will be well. At the end of time.

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CL - November 13, 2017

” You will eat, bye and bye
In that glorious land above the sky
Work and pray, live on hay
You’ll get pie in the sky when you die.
That’s a lie”
-Joe Hill.

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5. CL - November 13, 2017

“British poultry industry leaders have said they are very concerned about a United States suggestion that the United Kingdom will have to accept chlorinated chicken to secure a trans-Atlantic free trade deal.’
https://www.farminguk.com/News/British-poultry-industry-very-concerned-over-US-chlorinated-chicken-talks_47880.html

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6. CL - November 13, 2017

“David Davis has promised that British MPs and peers will be able to debate, scrutinise and vote on the final Brexit agreement through primary legislation in a concession to pro-EU Conservative backbenchers….
If there is no deal, there won’t be a bill. ”
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2017/nov/13/boris-johnson-should-resign-if-british-womans-jail-term-in-iran-gets-extended-says-labour-mp-politics-live

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7. Jim Monaghan - November 13, 2017

The voice of Lexit ” “Many who hanker for EU membership quote approvingly comments made by EU negotiators or politicians from the remaining 27 EU members, supporting demands for a customs border between Britain and Northern Ireland, an enduring role for the European Court of Justice or ongoing membership of the EU customs union and/or the single market.
None of these commitments is likely to find favour with the 52 per cent majority. Some would be anathema even to voters who backed Remain.” from http://morningstaronline.co.uk/a-38a7-No-going-back-on-Brexit#.WgnrUmi0MdW

The EU and Ireland do not want a hard border. It is Britains refusal to say in the customs union that is causing this problem. This is reversing the blame.

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8. CL - November 13, 2017

A 300-mile border, with no topographical or geographical rationale, meanders haphazardly through the small Ireland of Ireland. Post-Brexit this illogical border will partition Ireland into two divergent regulatory regimes, based on two somewhat different versions of the regressive neoliberal philosophy and will require physical infrastructure on the border to enforce.

Will capital and its enforcers devise a way around this absurd outcome?

“Mr Coveney said that if it were not possible for Britain to stay in the customs union and single market, then all sides would have to design a solution that allows North South co-operation to function.
That’s why we are asking for a rethink, and for more progress and clarity on this issue before December,” he said.
https://www.rte.ie/news/brexit/2017/1113/919711-brexit-coveney/

That seems reasonable. But then in the distance rise the dreary steeples and the DUP.

“Mr Coveney cannot on one hand claim to support the Belfast Agreement whilst ignoring the principle of consent on the other.
The DUP wants to see sensible and practical arrangements in place when the United Kingdom leaves the European Union, but separating Northern Ireland from the rest of the United Kingdom is simply unacceptable.
This has been made clear by the UK government. The DUP will continue to use our influence to secure the union and deliver economic prosperity for all our people.”-said Diane Dobbs.
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-41975416

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