jump to navigation

The unpopularity of Irexit in the ROI. January 31, 2018

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
trackback

I can’t say I’m hugely surprised by this, polling from the IT/IpsosMRB that suggests:

Just one in 10 voters believe Ireland would be better off leaving the European Union if Brexit resulted in a hard border between North and South, the latest Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI poll finds.
Voters were asked: “If Brexit results in a hard border between the Republic and Northern Ireland, would Ireland be better off leaving the EU or would Ireland be better off remaining in the EU?”
Granted this comes in advance of any such situation but it is suggestive that the broad trends we have seen in polling on Brexit, and on the idea that the RoI might follow the UK in an Irexit have continued. That is that Irish public opinion is strongly, almost overwhelmingly, in favour of membership of the EU.

And:

More than three-quarters of voters (78 per cent) said Ireland would be better off remaining in the EU. Just 10 per cent said Ireland would be better off leaving, while 12 per cent offered no opinion.

While:

Support for remaining in the EU was consistent across all demographics and geographic areas, and was highest in Dublin, among older voters and the better off. Among the political parties, pro-EU feeling was least strong amongst Sinn Féin voters, though even here two-thirds of the party’s supporters (67 per cent) said Ireland would be better off remaining in the EU even with a hard border.

If this were a rogue poll that would be one thing. But throughout the Brexit period public opinion has remained distinctly pro-EU with figures of up to 90% and more in favour of continued membership.

Even were all the DK’s to break to the Irexit side that would still leave near enough 8 in 10 voters in support of remaining in the bloc.

How though this plays out in the context of a very real possibility of a hard Brexit and a none too soft Border remains to be seen. And yet, my pessimistic side suspects that the partitionism we’ve long seen in the South would be the default mode, as it was during the 1970s and 80s.

Comments»

1. irishelectionliterature - January 31, 2018

I presume a lot of this is due to being outside the EU would probably tie us even closer to the UK. The Brexit debate in the UK has shown how little many of the UK ruling class think or know about Ireland.
There is also a feeling that Irish Unification may be best served with the UK outside of the EU and Ireland in it.

Like

WorldbyStorm - January 31, 2018

That’s very persuasive IEL. Particularly the last.

Like

2. GW - February 1, 2018

The unpopularity of the British Government in the rest of the EU waxes daily, with each idiotic and unsustainable stance taken.

A mood of ‘let’s get shot of them ASAP’ is growing.

Like


Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: