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And a new poll! With Aontú included. Kind of. February 23, 2019

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.

SBP/RedC… and what have they to say?

FG 31% – 1

FF 24% +2

SF 18% +5

IND 15% +1

LP 5% -1

IND ALL 2% -3

SD 2% NC

GP 2% -1

SOL/PBP 1% -1

And here’s an interesting one…


That SF jump. How? Why? It’s outside the MOE. One thing I’d say is that I’d be terrified if I were anyone going into an election on the strength of that. Granted it’s not massively volatile, but no one is in a great position really.

I was talking to someone fairly close to our beloved administration this week and their view was an Autumn election. Could be.


1. Paddy Healy - February 23, 2019

Has Red C changed its Processing Methodology? If it hasn’t, this is a very big jump by Sinn Féin. Could it have gone ahead of FF in B&A?

Polls %  Margin Of Error  3% (approx.) https://wp.me/pKzXa-jh

After “Adjustments” by Red C and B&A in January Polls

Red C  January 27,    FG  32  FF 22   SF 13   Lab 6   

B&A  January 20 ,     FG 30    FF26    SF 20   Lab 4 

I will await for confirmation from next B&A poll


Liked by 1 person

2. irishelectionliterature - February 23, 2019

Was at the FF Ard Fheis today. An election can’t come soon enough for them.

Liked by 1 person

WorldbyStorm - February 23, 2019

I’ll bet.

Liked by 1 person

Alibaba - February 23, 2019

Senior Fianna Fáil TDs believe the party can gain additional seats at the next election and are angered by Micheál Martin’s ruling out of a coalition with Sinn Féin. They won’t easily be persuaded to continue the current arrangement and must surely be tempted to pull the plug before the budget.

Obviously anything is a possibility. Varadkar could call a snap election should controversies shadow events and significant industrial action proceed. I tend not to make predictions because I dislike getting it wrong, but the Autumn general election looks like a runner to me. What a pity we have such discord on the Left.

Liked by 3 people

3. Paddy Healy - February 24, 2019

It is dangerous to draw conclusions from the poll ratings of small parties which do not have a presence in all constituencies. But if the 2%(-3) for Independent Alliance in this Red C Poll persisted over a number of months it would be significant. One might expect a large reduction in support for government to be first reflected in the poll rating of the government component with the poorer following.

Liked by 1 person

4. Joe - February 25, 2019
5. Joe - February 25, 2019

I broached the idea of a GE the same day as the locals and the Euros with my senior FG contact. He reckoned no, it would be all too much for one day.
Still, if Brexsh*t gets extended for a couple of years that would be the excuse gone and FF would have to pull the plug?

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