And a new poll! With Aontú included. Kind of. February 23, 2019
Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.trackback
SBP/RedC… and what have they to say?
FG 31% – 1
FF 24% +2
SF 18% +5
IND 15% +1
LP 5% -1
IND ALL 2% -3
SD 2% NC
GP 2% -1
SOL/PBP 1% -1
And here’s an interesting one…
RENUA/AONTU LESS THAN 1%
That SF jump. How? Why? It’s outside the MOE. One thing I’d say is that I’d be terrified if I were anyone going into an election on the strength of that. Granted it’s not massively volatile, but no one is in a great position really.
I was talking to someone fairly close to our beloved administration this week and their view was an Autumn election. Could be.
The Cedar Lounge Revolution 
Has Red C changed its Processing Methodology? If it hasn’t, this is a very big jump by Sinn Féin. Could it have gone ahead of FF in B&A?
Polls % Margin Of Error 3% (approx.) https://wp.me/pKzXa-jh
After “Adjustments” by Red C and B&A in January Polls
Red C January 27, FG 32 FF 22 SF 13 Lab 6
B&A January 20 , FG 30 FF26 SF 20 Lab 4
I will await for confirmation from next B&A poll
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Was at the FF Ard Fheis today. An election can’t come soon enough for them.
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I’ll bet.
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Senior Fianna Fáil TDs believe the party can gain additional seats at the next election and are angered by Micheál Martin’s ruling out of a coalition with Sinn Féin. They won’t easily be persuaded to continue the current arrangement and must surely be tempted to pull the plug before the budget.
Obviously anything is a possibility. Varadkar could call a snap election should controversies shadow events and significant industrial action proceed. I tend not to make predictions because I dislike getting it wrong, but the Autumn general election looks like a runner to me. What a pity we have such discord on the Left.
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It is dangerous to draw conclusions from the poll ratings of small parties which do not have a presence in all constituencies. But if the 2%(-3) for Independent Alliance in this Red C Poll persisted over a number of months it would be significant. One might expect a large reduction in support for government to be first reflected in the poll rating of the government component with the poorer following.
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Bit of a row in the SDs https://www.irishexaminer.com/breakingnews/ireland/three-members-of-social-democrats-executive-board-resign-as-fallout-over-ellie-kisyombe-continues-906753.html
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I broached the idea of a GE the same day as the locals and the Euros with my senior FG contact. He reckoned no, it would be all too much for one day.
Still, if Brexsh*t gets extended for a couple of years that would be the excuse gone and FF would have to pull the plug?
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