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Those European candidates… April 15, 2019

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
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This is useful. A list of those standing for the European Elections in this state. No end of independents running in all the constituencies. Some interesting aspects – for example Luke ‘Ming’ Flanagan is not according to this an Independent for Change candidate. Fidelma Healy Eames is back throwing he hat in the ring. No Renua candidate in two of the constituencies. One WP candidate but the GP have three. An Identity Ireland candidate, only one SD that I can see. A few Direct Democracy and of course Hermann Kelly who is part of the Irexit ‘movement’. And SF defending three seats going in. No doubt we’ll get to know a fair few of these a bit better in the next few weeks. Looking forward to IEL’s overview of the field.

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1. damonmatthewwise - April 15, 2019

Weather got those who picked up my nomination pages from airport, (as my original proposer was taken ill and didn’t rendezvous before I flew to Brussels on Thursday morning) late to returning officer at Noon, do am not on the ballot this time!

Sent from my Windows 10 device

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Joe - April 15, 2019

This cock-up throws the whole race wide open. All previous calculations and predictions will have to be bigly recalibrated. Some commentators are sceptical of the so-called cock-up and are seeing the dark hand of the CIA/Moscow/Rome/Big Pharma [delete as appropriate] behind this omnishambles.

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2. irishelectionliterature - April 15, 2019

This contest is going to be crazy. Initially it will be a 3 seater…I’d hazard at Frances Fitzgerald and literally anyone from Andrews, Gannon, Boylan, Durkan, Higgins, Daly, Cuffe, WHite and even Gemma O’Doherty !

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Joe - April 15, 2019

I’ll shorten your list to three of Fitzgerald, Boylan, Andrews, Gannon, Daly.

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3. Tomboktu - April 15, 2019

I’m trying to figure out if the count could produce interesting “what if” results.

As I understand it, they will count for a four-seater but fill only three of those seats until Brexit and the departing UK MEPs create the space for the fourth elected to take up a seat.

Counting for a three-seater would obviously give a different quota than counting for a four-seater. Is it possible that somebody could lose out on a seat because the number of seats counted for is higher?

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irishelectionliterature - April 15, 2019

Pretty sure they’ll have to have 2 different counts.otherwise there’ll be court cases galore

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Tomboktu - April 15, 2019

So, is it mathematically possible for somebody to get a seat in a three-seater but lose it if the count is for a four-seater?

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irishelectionliterature - April 16, 2019

Yes, it’s possible, Far more likely is for someone to win the third seat in a 3 seater and then if there is a different count win the 4th seat in a four seater.

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Joe - April 16, 2019

So, is it mathematically possible for somebody to get a seat in a three-seater but lose it if the count is for a four-seater? Yes, it’s possible.

Wow. There’s a court case. Candidate x takes the third seat and sits in the Euro Parliament. Six months later the Brits leave and candidate x comes fifth in the count for a four seater. y and z come in third and fourth in this count. Who gets the seats?

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irishelectionliterature - April 16, 2019

So say it’s a 3 seater and Clare Daly gets 200 votes over the quota on the first count.
If it’s a 4 seater she may be 20,000 over the quota on the first count.
It’s highly unlikely that those transfers would go to FF/FG, in a tight race that 20,000 surplus could influence everything. So you could have a case where the 3 candidates that take the seats in the 3 seater , may not all be elected if it were a 4 seater.

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4. GW - April 16, 2019

I’d be really interested in the *content* of what people are saying in the Euro-elections in RoI and the North.

And a critical view of how the Irish meeja are framing it.

Keep up the reportage.

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Paul Culloty - April 16, 2019

Interesting NI developments – Dodds and Anderson running again, but Jim Nicholson retiring, with Danny Kennedy the probable UUP contender. Increasing rumours that Colum Eastwood will run for the SDLP, and will Naomi Long stand for Alliance?

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Joe - April 16, 2019

No chance of a ‘remainer’ unionist standing? Or is there such a thing really?

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Paul Culloty - April 16, 2019

UUP have switched to Leave – so Remain Protestants would probably opt for either Alliance or Greens.

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WorldbyStorm - April 16, 2019

Unionists, more than Protestants presumably.

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5. Paul Culloty - April 18, 2019

Long confirmed as Alliance candidate:

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Joe - April 18, 2019

Good luck to her.
Any left candidates up there I wonder? PbP, WP, whatever the SP call themselves up there?
Greens even?

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Paul Culloty - April 18, 2019

Greens will run a candidate, but most parties still in the selection process yet.

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