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The Midlands – North – West debate last night May 22, 2019

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
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Another one that again suffered from too many people. Though perhaps a more varied seeming group than the Dublin debate. And again pity those who had short pieces to camera. Some engagement with the issues, not least Brexit.

Did this move anyone to vote for a candidate as much as voting against candidates (plural)? It wasn’t all bad with some traces of radicalism. Whether certain candidates of the reactionary right (you know who I’m talking about) emerge stronger or not… well, we’ll see.

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1. NFB - May 22, 2019

Felt like there was too much focus on Casey, everyone lining up to rebut him. Giving oxygen to the fire. His kind will only thrive on such attention.

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WorldbyStorm - May 22, 2019

Yes, if he was better as a speaker he could have played on that – as it were he was kind of hapless and underpowered but I still wonder what his vote will be like

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2. 1729Torus - May 22, 2019

With Matt Carthy, Saoirse McHugh, and Cyril Brennan you get the sense the Left is breaking out of it’s traditional urban box and is starting to enter rural areas that were dominated by FF/FG up until now.

Saoirse McHugh will benefit from the publicity, and pick up many anti FF/FG votes. I think the Greens will get at least 8% of FPVs on a national basis in the EU elections. Labour will be completely eclipsed by the Greens by the end of the month.

FF/FG are in danger of getting squeezed between the Greens and the Far Right.

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WorldbyStorm - May 22, 2019

All three I thought were good speakers – amazing how irrelevant the LP now is in these debates – none of their people shine

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irishelectionliterature - May 22, 2019

Totally, Labour in the Europeans are in trouble.
White could finish 8th or 9th after the first preferences.
Hannigan could finish 9th
Nunan could finish 9th too.
Not a hope of a seat and probably no expenses in Ireland South and Midland North West. Maybe even struggle to get the 5% in Dublin if Cuffes vote continues to grow.

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WorldbyStorm - May 22, 2019

Any thoughts of the final four in Dublin?

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Joe - May 22, 2019

1 FG, 1 SF, 1 Green and 1 FF?
or
1 FG, 1 SF, 1 Green and 1 Ind (Daly)?

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irishelectionliterature - May 22, 2019

I think it will be Boylan, Cuffe, Fitzgerald and Andrews or Daly. Very difficult to say though.
The Greens are very buoyant and seem to be putting in one final push to get Cuffe over the line.
Fitzgerald should get in, although I don’t think she will poll as well as the polls show.
Boylan will need to be a good bit ahead of Daly on first preferences but I think she should get there (although in the Locals word is SF will lose seats) .
If Andrews does worse than 14% and the FG vote is down he will struggle to get transfers and could be overtaken by Daly.
Needless to say that could all be totally wrong

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3. An Sionnach Fionn - May 22, 2019

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4. Paul Culloty - May 22, 2019

Interesting to note that she was 50/1 yesterday with a certain bookmaker, but has now shot up to 4/1, moving in the opposite direction to PC.

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