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What you want to say – 11 September 2019 September 11, 2019

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
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As always, following on Dr. X’s suggestion, it’s all yours, “announcements, general discussion, whatever you choose”, feel free.

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1. tafkaGW - September 11, 2019

Extraordinary – Bolton goes and the oil price plummets.

Demonstrating that Trump is more a low-oil-prices US president than an a foreign interventionist one.

Part of the Iran/US conflict is China wishing to buy oil in renminbi, rather than dollars, from the Iran oil industry. The decoupling of oil from the dollar-denominated markets is a nightmare of both the US and the Saudis.

Meanwhile the ecosystems of which we are part burn.

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Joe - September 11, 2019

This might be a tad simplistic. But am I right in saying that Trump has killed an awful lot fewer people through US foreign interventions than Obama did?

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tafkaGW - September 11, 2019

I think you may be right, if you’re talking about direct killing by the US military. He continues the drone strikes championed by Obama but has made that even less transparent.

But obviously the US continues to kill many people world wide in other ways than direct military intervention.

Take the slaughter in Yemen as just one example. Or the people displaced and killed by the climate emergency.

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WorldbyStorm - September 11, 2019

And then there’s stuff like giving the Israeli govt a free hand and consequent on that the election rhetoric yesterday. That alone will generate v negative outcomes.

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2. Phil F - September 11, 2019

A reminder of the importance of article 8 of the platform of the Communist International: https://rdln.wordpress.com/2016/09/30/the-condition-of-anti-imperialism/

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3. Phil F - September 11, 2019
4. Phil F - September 11, 2019
5. tafkaGW - September 11, 2019

Seriously: what chance Alexander de Pfeffel Johnson throws the DUP under a bus to solve the Tories’ problem with the backstop?

i.e. a NI-only backstop.

Plus-side he could say he got Brexit done, and ‘solved’ the backstop issue. He’s planning an election anyhow so he no longer needs the DUP and hopes he won’t need them in the future. The EU would be much more happy with a NI-only backstop, and perhaps be willing to give something as quid-pro-quo.

Down-side the Brexit Party runs on a ‘further enslavement to the Evil Empire, betrayal by the Tories’ ticket.

I can’t really see it happening, but you never know, and perhaps someone can con the con-man into it.

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Joe - September 11, 2019

It has been talked up bigtime in the media on this side of the little pond for the last few days. But afaik not so much on the other side. Wishful thinking on the RoI government’s part?
Speculation too that the DUP could ultimately go for a variation on the NI-only backstop but with a very different name obvs.

“Down-side the Brexit Party runs on a ‘further enslavement to the Evil Empire, betrayal by the Tories’ ticket.”
Don’t think Brexit Party voters would be much-exercised by the Oirish element of any deal. Oireland doesn’t matter to them.

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Tim - September 11, 2019

I think in England they’d be furious and would let everyone know it and if it for brexit through that wouldn’t change…it’s just there would be other things to focus on. Does the DUP have the base tied up to cover this as per elsewhere on this site?

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6to5against - September 11, 2019

The coverage of this seems a bit off-point to me. We’re hearing loads on RTE about the details of this NI-only backstop and the possibility – or not – of Johnson and the EU striking a last minute deal. But surely the issue is not what Johnson can negotiate with the EU, its what can he negotiate with Parliament.

Would the EU agree to NI-only? I cant see why not. Wasn’t that pretty much their starting position? Would they rename it and pretend it wasn’t substantially the same thing as before to save the DUP some embarrassment? Sure.

But would the DUP agree to it? Its a step backwards for them – retain EU regulations but move out of alignment with the UK.There are many good arguments for accepting, but I think they’ve gone too far into No-Surrender territory to find their way back at this stage.

And alongside their wish to play to the gallery, there are also some questions unanswered about their role in the 2016 referendum and the funding of their involvement – which would tend to suggest they have many reasons for staying in a hard-Brexit camp.

So Boris would have to get this passed without a majority, without the DUP’s votes and with an election looming? I just can’t see it.

After the election? Assuming Brexit happens, It’s pretty much inevitable – whether it comes as part of a new deal put to a People’s vote, or as part of the negotiations that follow a crashout-Brexit.

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WorldbyStorm - September 11, 2019

I’d tend to agree 6to5 – how can Johnson get this through without the DUP? It doesn’t seem likely.

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CL - September 11, 2019

“The former Irish prime minister and joint architect of the Northern Ireland peace process Bertie Ahern has said it is imperative that any Brexit solution be acceptable to the Democratic Unionist party.
His intervention is a rare warning by a prominent politician in the Republic of Ireland that imposing a deal not supported by the DUP, such as one with a Northern-Ireland-only backstop, would imperil a lasting solution.”
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/sep/10/any-brexit-deal-must-be-acceptable-dup-bertie-ahern

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EWI - September 11, 2019

“The former Irish prime minister and joint architect of the Northern Ireland peace process Bertie Ahern has said it is imperative that any Brexit solution be acceptable to the Democratic Unionist party.”

Utterly baffled by this claim, as it’s obvious that the DUP are keen on getting the hardest Brexit possible.

Unless, of course, the noble sentiments on Irish reunification around the GFA were BS, and Ahern joins MM as a partitionist FFer.

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6to5against - September 11, 2019

Bettie was happy enough to force through the Good Friday agreement without the support or assent of the DUP in 1998. Why are the rules so different now?

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tafkaGW - September 13, 2019

The theory goes that there are 40+ Labour voters (the likes of S. Kinnock) that would support such a deal. Many dispute that number. And that most Tories would vote for it.

A remote possibility, I agree.

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tafkaGW - September 13, 2019

40+ Labour MPs, I mean.

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6. Starkadder - September 11, 2019

Reminder – this is the 46th anniversary of the bloody coup against
Salvador Allende in Chile.

Tribune magazine has reprinted a Ralph Miliband essay about Allende:

https://tribunemag.co.uk/2019/09/the-coup-in-chile

Liked by 1 person

7. Paddy Healy - September 12, 2019

The Jig is Up on These Corporate Tax Billions for Ireland as Unfavourable OECD decision is imminent-Irish Independent
Richard Curran: ‘Time is almost up for corporate tax windfalls we grew to bank on’ 
Gross over Dependence on Multi Nationals https://wp.me/pKzXa-18R

Disaster!!: Corporation tax has generated huge revenues but an abrupt ‘supernova’ could see Ireland lose out  Richard Curran, September 12 2019
The tens of billions in intellectual property that has moved to Irish registered companies is not creating commensurate jobs yet forms some of the basis for our surging corporate tax take.
Surely it should have been used to fund a standalone rainy day fund or pay for genuine once-off investments like broadband or the National Children’s Hospital.

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8. lcox - September 12, 2019

A slightly off-beat event (Maynooth, Tuesday Oct 22nd).

“The voices of 1968 around the world: a reading”

The radical movements of the “long 1968” shook the postwar order from Prague to Paris, Derry to Mexico City, Rome to San Francisco. “Voices of 1968” (Pluto) lets those movements speak in their own words – posters, flyers, graffiti, manifestos, songs, underground texts and more.

I’ll be reading from some of the texts in the book with a slideshow in the background – revolutions produce some cracking writers, speakers and graphic artists!

Iontas seminar room (2.31, top floor), Maynooth campus (north end, beside the “water feature”, 12 noon.

Free, all welcome.

May not be the most accessible time and place, but if anyone would like a replay drop me an email at laurence.cox@mu.ie.

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lcox - September 12, 2019

I should have said: this is a reading from “Voices of 1968” (Pluto, 2018) which I co-edited with Salar Mohandesi (Viewpoint magazine, US) and Bjarke Risager (Slagmark, Denmark).

It’s a collection of original texts from the struggles of the “long 1968” across a dozen countries (Czechoslovakia, Yugoslavia, France, Italy, W Germany, Denmark, N. Ireland, Britain, US, Canada, Mexico).

More about the book at

https://www.plutobooks.com/9780745338088/voices-of-1968/

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9. Paddy Healy - September 12, 2019

As President Higgins urges Improvement in Defence Forces Pay and conditions, Minister For Defence and Taoiseach must not be allowed to use BREXIT to delay increases https://wp.me/pKzXa-1kf
Pay, Pensions, Allowances, Conditions of Service Must Be Fully Restored IMMEDIATELY

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10. Paddy Healy - September 12, 2019

Quora.com Did humans evolve from a rodent type of creature, just like a mouse or rat during the dinosaur age?
Paddy Healy: Physicist and Academic https://wp.me/pKzXa-1l8
Some Yes, and their evolution was very limited, retaining key characteristics. DNA tests will verify.
Some no!

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11. Paddy Healy - September 12, 2019

As Members of Defence Forces leave in droves due to appalling pay and conditions and existing vessels are tied due to lack of staff:
Confirmed by Taoiseach Who is Also Minister for Defence in Dáil: Construction of Multi-Role Vessel for use at home AND ABROAD has been put Out to Tender https://wp.me/pKzXa-1kf
“The 200 million Euro MRV ship could easily accommodate a whole infantry company and all its equipment, who could be launched onshore by landing craft. The ship would also have the capability to launch helicopters from its flight deck”.-Irish Examiner October, 2017

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EWI - September 12, 2019

“The 200 million Euro MRV ship could easily accommodate a whole infantry company and all its equipment, who could be launched onshore by landing craft. The ship would also have the capability to launch helicopters from its flight deck”

Only needed if you’re staging invasions.

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Joe - September 12, 2019

Some nice beaches in Antrim and Down though.

Liked by 1 person

12. Aonrud ⚘ - September 13, 2019

New slogan for RTÉ:

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13. Paddy Healy - September 13, 2019

President and Supreme Commander Criticised on Pay For Defence Forces by Government Ministers-Irish Examiner today
Mr Higgins’s comments on Wednesday night caused widespread surprise, anger, and bemusement in Government circles yesterday over what was seen as “interference” in political matters.
Full Article https://wp.me/pKzXa-1kf
“Of course they were deeply unhelpful,” one senior minister said. “We are trying to hold a public pay deal together with sticky tape and Blu-Tack. This will only heighten the pressure on us to loosen the purse strings even further.”(That is what they said to the Nurses before They took Strike Action-PH)
As Fine Gael ministers, TDs, senators, and MEPs gathered in Garryvoe, east Cork, for their party’s think-in ahead of the Dáil’s return, Mr Higgins’s comments were widely commented upon.

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14. CL - September 13, 2019

“The private prison industry is set to be upended after California lawmakers passed a bill on Wednesday banning the facilities from operating in the state. The move will probably also close down four large immigration detention facilities that can hold up to 4,500 people at a time.
The legislation is being hailed as a major victory for criminal justice reform because it removes the profit motive from incarceration.”
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2019/sep/12/california-private-prison-ban-immigration-ice

“Calling the federal government’s close ties with for-profit prison operators “corruption,” Sen. Elizabeth Warren released her plan to ban private prisons should she win the presidency in 2020….
Warren pointed to former White House Chief of Staff John Kelly’s new role as a member of the board at Caliburn International, whose subsidiary operates the largest detention center for unaccompanied migrant children, as one example of the corruption deeply embedded in the operation of for-profit prisons and the need to shut them down.”
https://www.commondreams.org/news/2019/06/21/slamming-corruption-has-allowed-rampant-abuse-warren-releases-plan-ban-private

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CL - September 13, 2019

“Renaissance Technologies, Wellington Management Group and 24 other funds hold over $4 billion in stock in General Dynamics, GEO Group and CoreCivic—three firms making money off the Trump administration’s policies at the southern border.

The hedge fund industry has invested billions in for-profit detention, and many public pension funds are exposed through these funds or via direct shareholdings.”
https://www.aft.org/press-release/hedge-fund-billions-invested-private-prisons-exposed

“The largest US bank confirmed to Reuters and Bloomberg on Tuesday that it would no longer underwrite loans and bonds for private prison companies….
It also comes a little more than a week after Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.), a member of the House Financial Services Committee, called for oversight hearings for major US banks over their ongoing investments in the private prison industry.”
https://www.motherjones.com/crime-justice/2019/03/jp-morgan-chase-divestment-private-prisons-lauren-brooke-eisen/

“As of 2017, GEO Group shares are mainly held by institutional investors (The Vanguard Group, BlackRock, Cohen and Steers, and others). In 2015, the GEO Group’s contracts with the U.S. federal government for operating prisons generated about 45% of its revenues.”
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GEO_Group

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15. Phil F - September 14, 2019

A 1975 interview with Seamus Costello on Officials’ attempts to destroy the IRSP:
https://theirishrevolution.wordpress.com/2016/12/28/seamus-costello-interview-1975-on-officials-attempts-to-destroy-the-irsp/

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16. Phil F - September 14, 2019

Finnian O Domhnaill on Donegal, partition and the national question. Interesting how PBP picked up a layer of republican-inclined people – and that people who have left SW/PBP have become more republican:
https://theirishrevolution.wordpress.com/2017/09/16/donegal-partition-and-the-national-question/

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17. Paddy Healy - September 14, 2019

Minister Murphy Spoofs Selective and Misleading Statistics
But Rise in Nett Number of Children in Homelessness in July 2019 Was 103
General Strike Needed on Housing https://wp.me/pKzXa-Rd
More than 10,000 still Homeless John Kilraine, RTE 2 Sep
The latest homeless figures have increased for the first time in two months, with the increase being directly attributed to a rise in the number of homeless children.
103 more children were listed as homeless in July.
The figures show there are now 10,275 adults and children in emergency accommodation despite “recategorisations” by Minister to artificially reduce numbers.

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18. Paddy Healy - September 15, 2019

Colm McCarthy, Sunday Independent: “This Lucky Period Will Come to an End!! Things have been going very well indeed – 2020 will mark seven straight years of strong economic recovery in Ireland.” https://wp.me/pKzXa-ua
History teaches that this lucky period will come to an end, and last Thursday’s decisions from the ECB should be interpreted as a warning. If it is not Brexit, it will be something else – troubles in Italy, Trump’s trade wars, an international attack on alleged havens for corporate tax avoidance – take your pick.
But McCarthy,As Usual, Advocates Continued Austerity not Taxing The Super-Rich
Colm McCarthy: ‘We cannot blame Brexit alone for the pressing need to balance our books’ Colm McCarthy, September 15 2019

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19. Paddy Healy - September 15, 2019

Brexit Clouding The Big Dangers: Warnings Now Coming Thick And Fast: The Jig is Up on These Corporate Tax Billions for Ireland as Unfavourable OECD decision is imminent-Irish Independent
Richard Curran: ‘Time is almost up for corporate tax windfalls we grew to bank on’ https://wp.me/pKzXa-18R
Disaster: Corporation tax has generated huge revenues but an abrupt ‘supernova’ could see Ireland lose out Richard Curran, September 12 2019
The tens of billions in intellectual property that has moved to Irish registered companies is not creating commensurate jobs yet forms some of the basis for our surging corporate tax take.
Surely it should have been used to fund a standalone rainy day fund or pay for genuine once-off investments like broadband or the National Children’s Hospital.

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20. Paddy Healy - September 15, 2019

Brexit Clouding The Big Dangers:Warnings Now Coming Thick and Fast: Trade wars ‘risk a global slump’
Threats: Joachim Lang , Head of the BDI(German Industry Federation) warned of a potential global recession
David Chance (Former Reuters Economics Editor for the Americas, overseeing coverage of the Federal Reserve as it managed the post-crisis recovery, the US economy and President Trump’s trade wars.) September 7 2019 https://wp.me/pKzXa-ua
The head of Germany’s powerful industry association lashed out at Brexit and trade protectionism in the US and China in a Dublin speech yesterday, saying they risked tipping the world into recession.
The speech by Joachim Lang came hard on the heels of data that showed German manufacturing output had fallen by 0.6pc in July from June, largely thanks to a collapse in car production, which is 20pc below its 2017 peak.
“The conventional assumption of a return to higher dynamism next year assumes away Trump, Johnson, Xi Jinping and other risks,” Dr Lang, the director-general of the Federation of German Industries (BDI), said.
“In fact, Europe will find itself in recession next year if a hard Brexit takes place, and in a slow-growth situation if it can be avoided,” he told the Institute of International and European Affairs.

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21. Paddy Healy - September 15, 2019

Huge Reverse for Saudi Arabia and its US and British Allies as Yemeni Houthis Backed by Iran Take Out 50% of Saudi Oil Processing Facilities with Drones
There Will Be a Third World War Unless the Far Right is defeated by Mass Action https://wp.me/pKzXa-1p2
Just Published :Article From Jerry Barmash for Daily Mail PUBLISHED: 15 September 2019
U.S. is ‘ready’ to deploy its oil reserves to stop disruptions to global markets after drone attack suspends operations at Saudi Arabian processing facility
Drone strikes from Yemen rebels hits oil supply in Saudi Arabia
Half of Saudi Arabia’s oil facilities were destroyed by attack
Yemen’s Houthi rebels, backed by Iran, take responsibility for drone blasts
Secretary of State Mike Pompeo accuses Iran of ‘launching unprecedented attack on the world’s energy supply’
President Trump said the United States ‘strongly condemns attack critical energy infrastructure
Saudi-led coalition has been fighting the rebels since 2015
The United States Energy Department said it is set to use resources from the Strategic Petroleum Oil Reserves, ‘if necessary, to offset any disruptions to oil markets,’ in the wake of a drone attack in Saudi Arabia on the world’s largest oil processing facility.
(Trump has withdrawn from Iranian Nuclear Deal and Re-Imposed sanctions on Iran and Iranian Oil)

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22. CL - September 15, 2019

“Boris Johnson will tell the outgoing European commission president, Jean-Claude Juncker, on Monday that he will defy a new act of parliament and refuse to discuss or accept any offer to extend the UK’s membership even if a Brexit deal cannot be agreed, Downing Street said last night.
The prime minister’s hardline message to Brussels that he will take the UK out of the EU on 31 October, come what may, will enrage MPs from all parties who joined forces last week to force through a new law mandating him to ask the EU to prolong UK membership from the current deadline of 31 October until 31 January next year, to avoid a no-deal outcome.”
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2019/sep/15/johnson-to-defy-benn-bill-quit-31-october-come-what-may

Johnson is prepared to take the autocratic approach and ignore parliamentary sovereignty.

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