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Here’s a point that’s not considered deeply enough… September 13, 2019

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.

[Boris] Johnson campaigned for a policy outcome that will probably cause immense damage to the Irish economy, and for the last two years his Brexiter allies have frequently demonised Varadkar as the obstacle to a successful Brexit.


1. CL - September 13, 2019

“The U.K. presented a long-awaited plan to EU negotiators Wednesday on how to replace the controversial Northern Ireland backstop, but diplomats briefed on the Brexit talks say the proposals fall short of the reassurance that Dublin and Brussels need….
The plan resembles one that Jonathan Faull, a former senior British EU official, and legal academics put forward last month, which suggested creating a network of trade centers away from the border where goods would be checked and duties paid.”


Paul Culloty - September 13, 2019

Seasoned Brexit anoraks will be aware of the influence of the Legatum Institute and its eminence grise, Shankar Singham, on British government policy concerning the Border, further underlain through the thinly-separated thinktank, Prosperity UK:


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WorldbyStorm - September 13, 2019

He’s some character is Shankar Singham.


korhomme - September 13, 2019

Not just Legatum, there are a raft of right-wing think tanks in 55 – 57 Tufton Street. The members move seamlessly between all of them. A commonality is opaque funding.

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CL - September 14, 2019

“Boris Johnson is planning to force a new Brexit deal through parliament in just 10 days — including holding late-night and weekend sittings — in a further sign of Downing Street’s determination to negotiate an orderly exit from the EU….
Officials in Dublin and Brussels say there are signs of movement from Mr Johnson as he searches for a compromise on the Irish backstop, the contentious insurance policy against a return to a hard border in Ireland, although both sides remain far apart.”


2. Dermot M O Connor - September 13, 2019

From a website with a peak oil angle (and PO is definitely an issue for UK/Brexit, as they peaked twenty years ago):



A more likely candidate for the content of the redacted paragraph can be found in paragraph 17:

“Low income groups will be disproportionately affected by any price rises in food and fuel.”

Wait a minute. Who said anything about fuel? The paper talks at some length about the impact on food supply chains. But paragraph 17 is the first and only mention of fuel. Nevertheless, the UK became a net importer of oil in 2004; and with the decline of the North Sea fields (which now produce just a third of the peak 1999 output) the UK has become increasingly dependent upon imports. Moreover, a proportion of the crude oil that the UK still produces is exported to refineries in Europe for processing. The refined products – including petrol and diesel supplies – will also be disrupted on 31 October; something the authors of this kind of planning paper would be fired for failing to mention.

There is good reason for wanting to hide the impact on fuel supplies. On two occasions in the last 20 years – September 2000 and March 2012 – the UK economy has been brought within days of a cascading collapse as a result of protests that cut the supply of fuel to businesses and households. Both events were severely exacerbated by panic buying ahead of the anticipated shortages. In September 2000, blockades of the refineries by farmers and lorry drivers really did result in shortages of fuel. In March 2012, however, a government announcement that fuel shortages were expected triggered panic buying on such a scale that they became a self-fulfilling prophesy.

It was the panic buying rather than a strike that failed to materialise, which caused chaos across the UK. Little wonder, then, that government would not want to provide information that might trigger a similar crisis in the run up to a no-deal Brexit on 31 October. The difference being, of course, that unlike 2000 and 2012, when the disruption was overcome within weeks, shortages of fuel (and food) caused by panic buying will take several months to overcome. While increased price rises might trigger something similar to the “yellow vests” protests on the other side of the Channel.

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