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It’s Saturday evening…so there’s a poll September 21, 2019

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
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RTÉ reporting from the Sunday Times/Behaviour & Attitudes:

Fianna Fáil is down one to 29% with Fine Gael unchanged on 26%.

Sinn Féin is up six points to 20% with Labour down two to 3%.

The Green Party is down two points to 5%, Solidarity/PBP down one to 1% and Renua up one to 1%.

The Social Democrats are unchanged on 1%, with the Independent Alliance also unchanged on 4%.

Aontu shows no change on 0% with Independents up one to 9%.

Interesting to compare that with last weeks poll from RedC/SBP.

FG 29% +1

FF 28% +4

IND 13% -1

SF 12% -1

GP 7% NC

LP 6% +1

IND ALL 3% +1

SD 1% -1

SOL-PBP 1% -1

The glaring disparity is SF.

What to make of it all?

Comments»

1. Alibaba - September 21, 2019

Opinion polls go off like milk, particularly in hot weather.

Liked by 2 people

2. Tawdy - September 21, 2019

You ask “ what to make of it all “.

Might I suggest that we are being led, lied to even.

Liked by 1 person

Paul Culloty - September 21, 2019

See also tonight’s UK polls, where the Tories either lead by 15% (37-22), which give them almost 400 seats, or 7% ahead (30-23), which gives them 306, and thus a hung parliament.

Liked by 1 person

3. Paddy Healy - September 22, 2019

Sinn Féin Core Vote Rises by 6% Since July
But Doubly Processed Red C Poll Downs Sinn Féin Yet Again  https://wp.me/pKzXa-jh  See Why Caution is Necessary In relation to Red C Polls Further Down
B&A Raw Poll   Published September 22, 2019,  by Sunday Times

FF  22   FG 20  SF 17  Lab 2  
Others(Incl. GP) 15    Undecided  24
B&A Raw Poll          Published   July 21 ,2019 by Sunday Times

  FF 22  FG 19    SF 11  Lab 4  Others(incl.GN) 20    Undecided   24

RED C  Downs Sinn Féin Yet Again!!!!!

September 2019 Claimed Margin of Error   c. 3%

Final Score After Elimination of Undecideds  and “Processing”
(B&A publishes a completely Raw Poll and processes it. Red C confines its spurious “core vote” to those who say that there is an 80%+ likelihood that they will vote!!)

Red C                                        B&A

FG 29%                                     26%

FF 28%                                      29%

SF 12%                                      20%

GP 7%                                         5%

LP 6%                                          3%

Others 18%                      Others 17%

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4. Dermot M O Connor - September 23, 2019

UK poll wonkery – poll mentioned in ukpr comments:
http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archives/10093#comments

LAB: 25% (-3)
CON: 22% (-4)
LDEM: 21% (+1)
BREX: 20% (+3)
GRN: 5% (+1)

This is a hypothetical, ie, ‘what if’ the election happens after Oct 31 and Brexit hasn’t happened. Bloody hell. UK seat calculator (surely well beyond its design limits with this one) spits out:

CON 209
LAB 278
LIB 79
BP 13
GRN 1
SNP 48
Plaid 4

Saw C4’s ‘Tories at War’ last night. Anyone else? Amazing stuff. Bonkers. Facing wipeout if they don’t get something by 31. Roll on the supremes.

Liked by 1 person


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