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Irish Times/MRBI Poll October 15, 2019

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.

No great surprise that Leo Varadkar’s approval rating has jumped up to 51%. The party polling is less stellar for Fine Gael.

FG 29% NC

FF 25% -1

SF 14% -2

GP 8% +4

LP 6% -1

And yet a huge bloc…

IND/Others 18% NC.

The breakdown of that latter cohort is (at least in part)

SOL-PBP 1% -1

SDs 1% -1

I4C 2% NC

IND ALL Less than 1% NC

Non Party IND 10% -2

OTHER parties and groups 2% -1


1. Paddy Healy - October 15, 2019

Sinn Féin on only 7% in Dublin in IPSOS MRBI  OCTOBER Poll  !! (This is Not Red C!)
Sinn Féin has 7 TDs in Dublin since 2016 General Election  https://wp.me/pKzXa-jh
National Poll FG 29% NC,  FF 25% -1, SF 14% -2, GP 8% +4, LP 6% -1, Ind/Others 18%  NC
Dublin Only   FG 34     FF 19      SF 7     Lab 7  IND/All OTHERS Incl Greens, SDs, Sol-PBP, I4C etc   33%   
Core Vote   Before Don’t Knows/Undecideds/ My Vote Doesn’t Matter   are excluded
FG 22%+1, FF 20% NC, SF 12% NC, GP 6% +3, LP 5% -1, Ind/Others 15%  NC ,UNDECIDED etc 20% -3


WorldbyStorm - October 15, 2019

Paddy what is your feeling re the poll – how robust would you say it is?


Paddy Healy - October 15, 2019

Ipsos MrBI have supplied a raw poll quoted by Pat Leahy as posted by me. I would have far more confidence in IPSOS MRBI than in RED C. Of course the Dublin sample is small and will have a margin of error much greater than 3%. The forthcoming October detailed raw poll from Behaviour and Attitudes will tell a tale. The poll came at a great time for Varadkar-“Brexit Breakthrough” The very muted criticism of the Budget by ICTU didn’t help (See ICTU Website)


2. irishelectionliterature - October 15, 2019

It’s not really much change, bar The Greens who had a good increase (what they’d be on if Eamon Ryan just kept his mouth shut!). Can’t see an election until the new year as the gap between FG and FF is too small. Add to that God knows what will happen over Brexit.

Liked by 1 person

WorldbyStorm - October 15, 2019

Hahah, yeah, the GP could be even higher but for. That’s true re the rest tho the SF vote in Dublin is weak.


Paddy Healy - October 15, 2019

Sinn Féin Regional Scores were
Dublin 7%, Rest of Leinster 19%,  Munster 17%,  Connacht-Ulster 14%

The Sinn Féin Dublin Score really stands out!!!


3. Paddy Healy - October 15, 2019

I don’t agree that the small gap between FG and FF makes an early election unlikely. FG may well feel that it cannot get any better than this for them.


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