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UK General Election poll tracker from the Guardian November 11, 2019

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.

This is very useful, a poll tracker provided by the Guardian of the changing fortunes of the parties contesting the December General Election.

Some interesting points from the off. The Tories are gaining strength, the Brexit Party losing it. So much for Farage’s ever more anxious efforts to project himself as relevant. The public is making its own mind up on that. Similarly the Labour Party is also gaining some strength albeit well well behind the Tories, and this would appear to be at the expense of the Liberal Democrats.The Green Party is seeing something of a down tick, albeit from a low enough base. The SNP is not recorded as such, but is included in ‘Others’.

The text accompanying it notes:

We will update the tracker with every available poll until election day. Note that, even if the polls prove perfectly accurate, because of the UK’s first-past-the-post electoral system there may be a significant discrepancy between the national share of vote received by the parties and the number of seats allotted to them in the House of Commons.

Remember, too, that on the day before the general election in 2017 most pollsters were predicting a Conservative majority, in some cases of as many as 82 seats. In the event, the Tories failed to achieve a majority. Changes in vote share shown above are compared with the 2017 election result.

I suspect we’ll all be checking in on this repeatedly as the election campaign progresses. But as always, UK Polling Report remains a great resource, and so in a different way does Electoral Calculus. For specific data on individual polls check out Wiki here.


1. irishelectionliterature - November 11, 2019
WorldbyStorm - November 11, 2019

Has to even just a bit. And I guess if he gets a slim majority no more hassle with DUP or whoever.


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