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The UK General Election: Brexit Party stands down in 317 Tory seats November 11, 2019

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
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Some differences of opinion on the meaning of Farage’s commitment to stand aside Brexit Party candidates for the Tories in 317 seats. As noted by others, that’s some party where Farage can dictate to his own candidates what they must do. But the effects appear to be to consolidate Tory support if not necessarily grow it. So that’s good news for the Tories. As is a potential if unstated ‘Leave alliance’ where the Brexit Party and Tories will stand aside in remaining constituencies where one or other has a better chance. As IEL says, an interesting move.

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1. simonjkyte - November 11, 2019

It’s a one way pact.

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Lamentreat - November 11, 2019

I wonder what the pay-off for Farage really is. A seat in the House of Lords or something wouldn’t really cut it for him: I suspect he’ll take his reward in more tangible form, whether it’s good cold cash or something else.

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benmadigan - November 11, 2019

US Ambassador?

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Lamentreat - November 11, 2019

Could be. Still reckon he’d want some juicy extras thrown in.

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simonjkyte - November 12, 2019

he said he was offered a peerage but refused it last friday – absolutely criminal

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simonjkyte - November 15, 2019
2. simonjkyte - November 11, 2019

peterborough conservative has already refused to stand aside for the Brexit party

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WorldbyStorm - November 11, 2019

Wow, that’s interesting, thanks Simon. Think we’ll see a lot more of this?

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simonjkyte - November 11, 2019

It’s all VERY strange. As I understand it, BP won’t contest anything won b y the Tories in 2015 – even if they have lost it since. So they won’t contest Brecon & Radnor in Mid Wales – currently LD?????

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WorldbyStorm - November 11, 2019

+1

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3. simonjkyte - November 11, 2019
4. benmadigan - November 11, 2019

I imagine the axed Brexit party candidates and their supporters are not too happy. Will the candidates get their £100 deposits back from our Nige?

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WorldbyStorm - November 11, 2019

Some of the candidates were giving out yards on twitter today.

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5. CL - November 11, 2019

Seems like ideology trumps ego after all.

“Nigel Farage has insisted on grisly encore after grisly encore…but the leader of the Brexit party finds it hard to reconcile himself to the best supporting actor award….
Mr Farage’s grudging gambit will help save Tory seats, while the admission that there is only one viable Leave option will help them to squeeze his vote. Mr Johnson can stop worrying about attacks from the Brexit party which will now focus its fire on remainers….
In all but a handful of seats, the Leave vote is going to coalesce around the Tories. And Mr Farage’s partial retreat is the election’s most significant moment so far. It may yet prove the most significant of the whole campaign.”
https://www.ft.com/content/54fd870c-047a-11ea-9afa-d9e2401fa7ca

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6. NFB - November 11, 2019

Can only imagine the Brexit Party has started the process of imploding. Plenty of them will be embittered by the decision to essentially acknowledge the Tories as their overlord, and after the next election, with a Tory majority likely and Brexit to follow, what few MP’s they have will be lame ducks whose party no longer has a reason to exist.

Any chance of BoJo getting turfed out seems to have gone up in smoke with this. I suppose there’s still a chance of a Labour or Lib Dem surge but not optimistic.

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WorldbyStorm - November 11, 2019

The only real hope for the LP is that disenchanted LD voters vote for them as the only game in town likely to even get close to a sniff of delivering a second referendum.

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simonjkyte - November 12, 2019

A potentially interesting facet is what impact this might have on some ‘Labour leavers’ vote.

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7. tafkaGW - November 11, 2019

Well I suspected it will come to this. It’ll be interesting to discover whether this was auto-destruction on Farage’s part of whether something was cooked up in a back-room deal.

Or perhaps Aron Banks and the money behind him just wanted it so.

It means another few percentage points for the Tories, making the hill for the BLP to climb higher.

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8. roastedsnow1 - November 12, 2019

For what its worth UKIP declared they will not be running a full slate of candidates.

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WorldbyStorm - November 12, 2019

Says it all, doesn’t it?

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9. CL - November 12, 2019

“It is not the seats which the Tories won in the last election that count. With or without Farage’s intervention, Johnson will probably win most of these anyway.
More importantly, there are the Labour marginals, which the Tories must secure in the coming election if Johnson is to secure a working majority. Yet Farage intends to front canadiates in all of these seats….
Unsurprisingly, Farage is being urged to pull candidates out of every marginal. ”
http://eureferendum.com/

“Mr Farage said his party would contest Labour-held constituencies at the December 12 election, in a move that could split the Leave vote in key target seats for the Tories and thereby undermine Mr Johnson’s hopes of winning a House of Commons majority….
Mr Farage will now be under pressure from pro-Brexit campaigners, including the rightwing press, to withdraw his candidates from Labour seats that Mr Johnson is targeting — notably Leave-supporting constituencies in northern England, the Midlands and Wales — before Thursday’s deadline for nominations.”
https://www.ft.com/content/2f7a1b18-047e-11ea-9afa-d9e2401fa7ca

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