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Destabilising the peace process? February 24, 2020

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.

Difficult reading this thread on Slugger not to feel that with some raising the point that the all-out attack on SF participation in government in the Republic, as against the strenuous efforts of two governments and all parties including FF and FG that SF should enter government in the North with the DUP, doesn’t just raise charges of hypocrisy but is of a kind to see the DUP and other unionists exit from the Assembly and Executive.

Of course, there’s another twist. For all the rhetoric over the 2015 security services assessment of the IRA Army Council, this hasn’t been a secret in the intervening period. Anything but. On this site that report was noted at the time and afterwards. So the performative aspect of this, the fact that it wasn’t raised time and time again in the intervening years, by those raising it now, suggests bad faith.

And a further point is the actual content of that assessment which clearly stated that PIRA was inactive, that the AC was wedded to the Peace Process and to a purely non-military approach.

So has FF thought this through? It would seem not. But that’s no great surprise. One of the revelations of this election cycle has been a certain pompous self-importance around some in the leadership of that party – firstly in respect of their seeming belief in the inevitability of their being in government, and later in the self-evident worth of their criticisms of SF. What’s curious is how they think that attacks in the run-up to the election will have the same effect in the aftermath of it, particularly given the polling data we have on opinions a week or two out from the electorate which seem to have solidified even more behind SF.


1. CL - February 24, 2020

The peace process is safe.

However a prolonged interregnum in Dublin as FF and FG try to negotiate a co-dependency arrangement to prop one another up and retain power could lead to some instability.
The Tory govt. is indicating that it will resile from the provision in the Irish Protocol of the Withdrawal Agreement that places the post-Brexit commercial border between the UK and NI rather than between NI and ROI.
FF and FG are treating Sinn Fein, Ireland’s largest political party as a pariah. Not a good idea SF is holding a rally in Cork tonight to rally its grassroots in protest against its exclusion from power. In coming days a similar rally will also be held in Newry-also Galway, Dublin, Cavan.


Joe - February 24, 2020

Yes. We should never relax. But the peace process is safe. Long may it remain so.

Brexit and Tory duplicity won’t help.
Neither will the demonising of SF by FFG. Varadkar ott latest https://www.irishtimes.com/news/politics/varadkar-says-sinn-f%C3%A9in-rallies-a-campaign-of-intimidation-and-bullying-1.4183209.

But the big challenge for the peace process is a few years down the line, when a Border Poll becomes inevitable. That’ll have to be handled very, very carefully.


tafkaGW - February 24, 2020

Agree fully on the extreme care needed for a border poll Joe.


2. tafkaGW - February 24, 2020

I’ll tell you who will be doing the destabilising of the GFA: the Brexitanian government.

I suspected they’d be looking to renege on the Withdrawal Agreement, and here are the first indications.

An attorney general appointed on the basis of her willingness to ‘get around’ the Withdrawal Agreement, which her predecessor refused to do.

You can’t trust them further than you could smell them.


WorldbyStorm - February 24, 2020

Isn’t it ridiculous – how will they be trusted in their brave new world if they renege from the off. Got to say the neoimperial angle on Brexit has never been so evident


Stan - February 24, 2020

There was a piece in the NYT (I think) by an Irish-American explaining the election result here and the reaction in the UK. He described the default position of the UK generally (maybe England more accurately) as being that of a toddler with regard to object permanence – they don’t understand that other countries continue to exist even when they are not looking at them


WorldbyStorm - February 24, 2020



3. CL - February 24, 2020

“Taoiseach Leo Varadkar has said plans by Sinn Féin to hold rallies across the country are “an unwelcome development”.
Mr Varadkar said the rallies are “designed to be the next phase in Sinn Féin’s campaign of intimidation and bullying”.
He added: “I wouldn’t be surprised if their next step is to take to the streets.”…
Sinn Féin’s finance spokesperson Pearse Doherty described Mr Varadkar’s comments as “hysterics”.

On Brexit, Mr Varadkar insisted “there can be no backsliding” on the Northern Ireland protocol in the Withdrawal Agreement.”


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