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Reluctant suitors March 27, 2020

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
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The Regional Independent Group comprising nine non-aligned TDs has emerged as the most likely target for Fianna Fáil and Fine Gael as partners in coalition.

Well there’s a surprise. Some interesting votes in the Dáil yesterday too, as noted in comments. But:

Fianna Fáil has 37 TDs in the 33rd Dáil, while Fine Gael has 35, giving them a total of 72. The nine members of the regional group would take the numbers to 81, a slim majority. There are 160 TDs.
“We need another party to participate,” said a member of the group who spoke on condition of anonymity. “That would be a red line for us. Without a party on board, Independents would have no cover. Opposition parties could identify the most vulnerable Independents in their own constituency.”

I can’t see, at this point anyhow, a party participating in an FF/FG lash-up. Perhaps the GP but they’re certainly more than equivocal and trending hostile. Perhaps the LP, though would they really want to take the chance after two very very bad elections? The IT argues that the outcome of the leadership election there might be crucial.

And others:

Mattie McGrath of the Rural Group of six TDs said that it had not spoken to any party in the past 20 days ,but was still exploring options.

While:

The Independent Group also has six TDS, but only three of its number – Michael Fitzmaurice, Michael McNamara and Marian Harkin – have expressed interest in government formation.

That’d be something, some people in the Independent Group in government and others outside it.

Of course this could be a clarifying moment, and no wonder people are uneasy about being seen to row in behind FF/FG. Because if the Regional Independents did go in that would offer us a more distinctive leftish/right divide in the Dáil.

Interesting too a consensus emerging that the present ‘team’ of Taoiseach, Health Minister and Finance should remain in situ in the new dispensation, at least for the duration of the crisis. How does that play?

Comments»

1. EWI - March 27, 2020

Perhaps the LP, though would they really want to take the chance after two very very bad elections?

They absolutely would. Especiallt for the adulation of the Dublin media and plum jobs in ‘retirement’ afterwards from a grateful establishment

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2. Tomboktu - March 27, 2020

The last time I think Katherine Zappone’s appointment was a surprise.

I am purely guessing, but I would not be surprised if her decision to join a coalition proved to be a spur to the Independent Alliance and to Denis Naughten to get their act together to maximise the number of ministerial posts available to them.

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