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Easing a lockdown… April 29, 2020

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
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Was struck reading about how New Zealand was ‘easing’ its lock-down, how in many, albeit not all aspects, the lock-down there is both more restrictive than the one in this state, and how the easing was, largely, though not precisely, moving towards the situation here. So, for example:

The Level 3 restrictions, which limit people to local travel and keep malls, pubs, hairdressers and other businesses closed, will last for at least another two weeks, Ms Ardern said.

It is slightly more open in some areas:

Level 3 sees retailers, restaurants and schools allowed to reopen on a smaller scale. Schools will reopen on Wednesday for children up to Year 10 who cannot study from home, or whose parents need to return to work. Workers are able to resume on-site work, provided they have a Covid-19 control plan in place, with appropriate health and safety and physical distancing measures.

But important to keep in mind that New Zealand’s situation is radically different to our own:

New Covid-19 infections ticked up by two on Tuesday to 1,124 cases, with a community transmission rate of just 0.4. This is the number of people each infected person can pass the virus to and compares to the average overseas transmission rate of 2.5.

And it has suffered just 19 deaths. Compare and contrast with our own situation.

Indeed the broader noise about easing of lockdowns, as in Spain, Italy and New Zealand is one where the situation is moving closer to our own position or was radically better in the first place.

Still, looking at the New Zealand situation there’s a lot to be said about certain aspects of the manner in which it was handled – clear lines on the various Levels of Public Alert so that transitioning from one to another was transparent, the use of ‘bubbles’ of acquaintances, strong trace and test regimes and so on. Of course unlike this state/island it does not have a large rather chaotic neighbour just on its doorstep (and it’s somewhat more distant neighbour Australia has also seemed to follow a fairly positive path).

It appears something along these lines is in the works. And part of this is to deal with unreasonable expectations of exiting the lockdown. Which perhaps is also being addressed here.

Comments»

1. Ned Corcaigh - April 30, 2020

It’s bizarre how much of the commentary at the moment reckons the main factor in whether to lift the lockdown should be the degree of public disenchantment rather than the number of cases being recorded.
Especially when the countries easing lockdowns are doing so by and large in response to an improvement in the situation which hasn’t been witnessed here to the same extent yet.
It’s kind of dispiriting. Harris may not be a particularly impressive minister but pretending flaws in the government or HSE response make it OK to flout the regulations because ‘this whole thing isn’t the public’s fault’ seems the height of foolishness.

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WorldbyStorm - April 30, 2020

“It’s bizarre how much of the commentary at the moment reckons the main factor in whether to lift the lockdown should be the degree of public disenchantment rather than the number of cases being recorded.”

Brilliant. Encapsulates in one sentence something that I’ve been trying to get to grips with for ages.

I’m going to shamelessly rob this and use this elsewhere. It cannot be said enough.

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