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From Archon… thoughts on the potential sale of Aer Lingus February 11, 2015

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Economy, European Politics, Irish Politics.
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Many thanks to the person who forwarded a photocopy of a piece Archon of the Southern Star newspaper.

ARCHON

Deal? No deal, according to Dublin! February 11, 2015

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Economy, European Politics, Irish Politics.
2 comments

Yesterday we had Simon Coveney recognising that if a deal is done with Greece that implies that it should encompass Ireland in some shape or form.

Today?

On the eve of key meetings in Brussels, Mr Noonan complained of rampant tax evasion in Greece and said it was a fallacy to blame its creditors for its plight.“I don’t think the diplomatic démarche by the Greek government was very successful,” he said.
Minister for Agriculture Simon Coveney did not reflect Dublin’s position when saying Ireland would seek similar measures to any Greek concessions, he said. “The Government hasn’t made a decision to that effect.”

But most pertinently:

Echoing other ministers, Mr Noonan said Ireland would not support a debt write-down for Greece.

Except… except, what of the actual economics of the situation?

Still, the French banker advising Athens said a €100 billion write-down was needed for an “acceptable” debt level. “An effort is absolutely necessary,” said Matthieu Pigasse of Lazard.

So what would Noonan accept? Well entertainingly despite being able to dismiss the Greek efforts so far?

Mr Noonan told the Oireachtas finance committee that he was well-disposed to help but stressed that many difficulties remain. Saying he did not know what Greece was seeking,

And this… this…

Mr Noonan also complained that Mr Varourfakis and prime minister Alexis Tsipras had been inconsistent.

Greece is different to Ireland… part II February 10, 2015

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Economy, European Politics, Irish Politics.
8 comments

And on foot of the earlier posts, Last Post in the SBP has an entertaining run down of those who told us last week Ireland is not Greece. I guess at that point they hadn’t got the memo that some sort of deal was likely, however watery. And therefore the Dáil was gifted some atrocious stuff. Most egregious quote?

Kildare TD Anthony Lawlor elaborated. “They live in cloud-cuckoo-land in which nobody pays for anything and the European Union and Irish taxpayers will pay for everything.” (This is Greece, by the way.)

Still, I guess as the enormity of the idea that, yes, Greece might get something and just where that would leave the Irish government hit home everything changed. No doubt this week we’ll be treated to the opposite message in the chamber!

Last Post takes a look at the following:

Labour TD Eamon Moloney used the debate to muse on language.
“I do not like using the word ‘austerity’,” he averred. “It is a very bourgeois word. When I was growing up we just used the word ‘hardship’. The people in most working class estates do not use the word ‘austerity’,” he explained.
“I am aware it is cool for the career socialists to speak about austerity but it is an awful word. ‘Hardship’ is much better, and people like Dickens used it. I do not know how the word ‘austerity’ crept in but it did not come from the labour movement.”

I don’t know if he’s right. I think most people now wherever do know and use ‘austerity’ and it’s hard to understand why ‘hardship’ would be an improvement – not least given the role of his party in this government in imposing austerity. As to this stuff about not coming from the ‘labour movement’, this sort of reaching for some spurious authenticity seems ever more rhetorical when set against the actual impacts of the crisis and – yes – austerity.

All that said, it’s Eamonn, two ’n’s and Maloney, ‘a’, not ‘o’. It’s the small things.

Greece is different to Ireland… February 10, 2015

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Economy, European Politics, Irish Politics, The Left.
11 comments

Actually, on foot of Simon Coveney’s comments about how any deal on Greece should be applied to the RoI, interesting editorial on Greece in the SBP this weekend which under the heading ‘What is the point of destroying Greece’ makes some pertinent points:

The Syriza administration, with its youthful, charismatic leaders and unorthodox bluntness, has made clear that it will end the long winter of austerity endured by Greeks over the past six years – one way or the other. Reports from Athens stress how the new government has brought hope to the country.
But Greece needs more than hope. Above all, it needs two things. It needs help with its huge debts, and it needs to continue and intensify efforts to reform its own economy and society.

And:

…if Greece is to be extended debt relief, in whatever form it arrives, it will be all of Europe, not just Germany, that extends a helping hand. Merkel may be Europe’s most powerful leader, its paymaster and Germany its economic powerhouse. But she is not chancellor of Europe.

And:

The Irish government’s position has gone in the space of two weeks from being broadly supportive of a general conference on European debt to apparent outright opposition to any write-off0. for Greece. Last week, Enda Kenny was lecturing the new government in Athens about the need to stick to the commitments made by its predecessors.
That was, of course, the approach taken by Kenny when he assumed office. It is not one for which there is much support in Greece, however. It was precisely to repudiate these commitments that Tsipras and his party were elected.

And:

What would be the point of insisting on further austerity in Greece? The country is broke, its society fracturing. A neo-Nazi party came third in the recent elections.
European countries should extend further assistance to Greece on the strict condition that the structural reforms necessary to rebuild the country’s economy…
What is the alternative? Ejection from the eurozone? Forcing the country into default? Syriza has promised reform. Tsipras should be given a chance to make good on his promises.

Very good, SBP. Very good (though it does take a lash at the ‘preposterously protected Greek public and semi-public sector). Now, what about this Republic?

Bank admits to ‘tax dodge’…but it’s ‘changed’. February 9, 2015

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Economy, European Politics, Irish Politics.
5 comments

From RTÉ this morning.

British bank HSBC has admitted failings by its Swiss subsidiary that helped wealthy customers dodge taxes and conceal millions of euro of assets.

Details from HSBC’s private bank in Switzerland show bankers advised clients on how to keep money hidden from national authorities. It also offered deals to help tax dodgers to stay ahead of the law. The bank says it has now changed.

…well I never.

Just to note, there’s a more local aspect to this.

350 people associated with Ireland held accounts with HSBC in Geneva worth a total of €3.1bn. 20 Irish account holders have since made settlements with the revenue commissioners.

A deeply confused voice of the orthodoxy February 8, 2015

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Economy, European Politics, Irish Politics, The Left.
5 comments

Check this out:

Back in 2010 Ireland and Greece were both on the verge of financial meltdown and were only saved from ruin by the intervention of the EU and the International Monetary Fund.
The Irish response to the EU-IMF bailout was to stick by the terms of the deal and implement the reforms contained in the troika programme. The Greeks responded with violent street protests, political turmoil and foot-dragging on many of the agreed reforms.

Stephen Collins, for it is he, is apparently blissfully unaware that the Greeks too did attempt to impose the ‘deal’, actually multiple deals, with no less than seven ‘austerity packages and reforms’, albeit many of those are extensions and expansions on previous ones due to the continually worsening economic situation. And the ‘violent street protests’ were in essence a marginal phenomenon. If anything the problem is ever increasing austerity leading to ever increasing economic problems with further servings of austerity to address the economic problems leading to…

What does he think is leading Syriza emissaries to traipse around Europe seeking some amelioration of austerity?

And what of the economic consensus developing that tends to the view that the imposition of austerity on Greece has been wildly counterproductive and that as a minimum it has to be eased. That it is – unsustainable! But not a term in Collins analysis of the problem.

But hey, why engage with those inconvenient truths when making a political point about the essential correctness of this government in this state?

Meanwhile it is, as Fintan O’Toole noted during the week, all but incomprehensible as to why some, including Collins in the following seek to marginalise calls for an international debt conference:

There was an instructive Dáil debate during the week on a motion from the technical group calling for an international debt conference to deal with the problems of Greece.
In response, Minister for Finance Michael Noonan calmly and methodically set out the facts of the recovery, pointing out for a start that Ireland’s net debt had been cut to 90 per cent as a percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) and is moving quickly towards the EU average.

Really? It makes no sense to Collins that the government might attempt to ameliorate the debt burden in any way it could?

And why not? Well in part because apparently it’s all our fault…

He also addressed one of the central misconceptions in political debate which is that Ireland’s debt is largely due to the bank bailout. That is simply not the case. The bulk of the country’s debt is due to the gap between Government spending and the revenue raised from tax.

Except he appears obvious to the fact that the weight of the bank bailout – and let’s not forget the nature of that exercise in terms of socialising private debt – made what was a sustainable situation unsustainable. Indeed he goes so far as to argue that we haven’t actually experienced ‘austerity’. Yep, really…

What was widely described as EU-imposed austerity was actually the means to avoid austerity.

What possible response is there to that?

SYRIZA in Dublin this weekend February 5, 2015

Posted by doctorfive in Economy, European Politics, Irish Politics, The Left.
38 comments

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Greek Solidarity Committee hosting Syriza activists in bid to raise awareness of Syriza debt proposals

Ireland’s newly formed Greek Solidarity Committee will be hosting Syriza MEP Kostas Chrysogonos and economist Dr Dimitros Sotiropoulos, a member of SYRIZA debt policy committee and advisor to Finance Ministry, this coming weekend (Saturday 7 February and Sunday 8 February).

The group will also include three Syriza activists.

 

The centrepiece of their trip will be a solidarity rally in the Sean O’Casey Community Centre in East Wall on Saturday 7 February at 4 pm.  The rally will be chaired by Mandate General Secretary and Greek Solidarity Committee member John Douglas, and addressed by Syriza activists.

 

Syriza activists will also attend a breakfast meeting hosted by Communities Against Water Charges in North Dublin on Saturday morning.

On Sunday, at the invitation of the five unions affiliated to Right2Water,  Dr Dimitros Sotiropoulos will brief an invited audience on Syriza’s proposals for a resolution of the Greek and European debt crisis.

This weekend’s planned events come as solidarity campaigns around Europe organise events to express solidarity with the Greek people and their newly-elected Syriza-led Government, and to underline demands for a socially equitable and economically efficient resolution of the debt crisis.

In a statement, the Greek Solidarity Committee said today:

“We are delighted that, at a time of such momentous change in Greece, Syriza representatives have agreed to take time out of their crowded schedules to visit Ireland.  Both Ireland and Greece have been exposed to unsustainable levels of debt coupled with a relentless austerity programme which has plunged both countries into social and economic misery.

“Austerity is a political choice made by Governments.  The Syriza victory reminds us that Government, and therefore political choices can change.  In demonstrating solidarity with the people of Greece this weekend, we will also be emphasising the need for a resolution of the debt crisis”.

The following Syriza members will be visiting Ireland:

Dr. Kostas Chrysogonos MEP

Professor of Constitutional Law at Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, elected to the European Parliament representing SYRIZA in 2014, currently Vice-President of the Committee on Development.

Dr Dimitros Sotiropoulos

Lecturer in economics at Kingston University in London, member of SYRIZA debt policy committee and advisor to Finance Ministry.

Konstantina Tzouvala

PhD candidate and part-​time staff at Durham University Law School, social justice activist and member of SYRIZA UK.

Marina Zepatou

Journalist with youth publication {Young}ist, party activist in Athens and committee member of SYRIZA Youth.

Maria Karagianni

PhD candidate in urban planning at Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, member of SOSte to Nero struggle against water privatisation in Thessaloniki, SYRIZA activist.

No surprise here… February 5, 2015

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Economy, European Politics, Irish Politics, The Left.
11 comments

…to read that:

Frankfurt increases the pressure on the new Greek government which has been lobbying EU institutions and European capitals this week for support for its planned renegotiation of its bailout arrangements.

And:

Greece’s bid to secure a new debt deal with international creditors received a serious setback last night after the European Central Bank announced it would no longer accept Greek bonds as collateral for loans.

Though meanwhile:

The Greek finance minister, Yanis Varoufakis, flew to Berlin to prepare for meetings on Thursday with his German counterpart, Wolfgang Schäuble. At the end of a four-day whistlestop tour of European capitals, he claimed he now had widespread support for his debt relief proposals.

Varoufakis, sticking to his casual no-tie policy, said a meeting with the European Central Bank chief, Mario Draghi, on Wednesday, was “fruitful” and Athens could count on the central bank’s support.

Where does this go from here? There’s a clear consensus for change, particularly in economic circles, but much less so in evidence in political circles, and even where the rhetoric appears supportive it’s often hedged as with the French.

Speaking of Greece February 4, 2015

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Economy, European Politics.
14 comments

This from the CPGB is not bad. It’s not entirely unsympathetic to Syriza’s problems while pointing up the contradictions implicit in their stance.

I think the point about the 50 seat top up is well made in the following, even if it beggars belief that ‘standing up’ to the entire constitutional order was ever an option.

We fear that Merkel and the FT may be right. At his swearing-in ceremony, Tsipras vowed to defend the constitution. Far better to have stood against the entire constitutional order, including the 50-seat top-up and all the rest of the nonsense. Unfortunately, Syriza is not committed to the disbanding of the standing army, let alone immediately withdrawing from Nato – it is taking on a thoroughly reformist coloration.

But one could argue what is the alternative? Waiting for a genuinely revolutionary situation that is unlikely to occur any time soon. The left vote including Syriza, KKE and PASOK – I’m being generous at that last, totalled just about 50%. But look at the abstention rate. For all the talk of ideological ferment 1 in 3 voters stayed home. And all this in a state with a fascist tendency that gains a sizeable chunk of the vote and a deep state only itching to impose a 1967 redux solution? That’s not exactly a recipe for success either. Perhaps there are no surefire recipes for success, perhaps oppositionalism is the only stance that makes sense, whether in the form of Syriza’s efforts to push back aspects of/as much austerity as is possible or as others are doing, hunkering down in case the situation spins out of control. Perhaps it’s better to see all this as a continuum of resistance, albeit expressing in different and in some respects contradictory ways.

Mind you I did enjoy this:

The Syriza-led government may not be a classic popular front, but it certainly is a popular front sui generis – of a special kind.

Unseen wealth… January 30, 2015

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Economy, European Politics, Irish Politics, The Left.
7 comments

Interesting analysis by Polly Toynbee and David Walker drawn from a new book by them on Cameron. In between noting just how right-wing Cameron actually is, they write:

In his book Capital, Thomas Piketty observed that in advanced economies wealth has become so concentrated among the few that most people are virtually unaware of its existence. Great wealth is secret, and its hold on power even more so. Who knows what goes on over country suppers in the Cotswolds, where the prime minister’s neighbours include Rebekah Wade and Rupert Murdoch’s daughter Elisabeth, with Mark Carney’s sister-in-law and lobbying magnate Lord Chadlington next door? Yet people have inklings. Cameron provokes nothing like the visceral response that Thatcher did, but he has not erased people’s resentment of privilege. Today’s opinion polls reflect a scratchy sense of unfairness. George Osborne’s mantra, first chanted at the 2012 party conference, “all in it together” raises a hollow laugh.

In Prospect some years back in a piece on Ireland during the crisis it noted that the most conspicuous displays of consumption by the very rich in this state had been ramped back and quoted one person (I think a still wealthy developer) who talked about how boats were kept at private marina’s or otherwise well out of view, and so on, because those who owned them were aware of the friction they might generate. And if one considers how wealth is gated away it’s both disturbing and revealing. It also suggests that reaching towards democratic control of same is going to be a mammoth task.

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