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Deep state coups and other matters February 24, 2017

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
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If the chaos in the Trump White House seems problematic, then reading various commentators thoughts on same across the weekend it is clear that it is near unprecedented. Sure, one or two Republicans were talking the good talk about it being like Clinton in the early 1990s with his first administration, but somehow the gap between rhetoric and reality appears wider this time around – not least because Trump himself simply cannot stay quiet. This interview on Slate.com between Isaac Chotiner and foreign affairs journalist James Mann is fascinating:

Does the extent of the leaks worry you? People are using phrases like deep-state coup.

I find those fears overblown. This is a unique case in which someone at the level of the national security adviser was saying things that were not true about his conversations with the government of one of the United States’ two leading adversaries in the world. The fact that people within the bureaucracy wanted to come out—I don’t see that as all that worrisome. I certainly don’t see it as something like a deep-state coup, in your words.

And:

How likely is it that Trump will make a major effort to staff multiple levels of the bureaucracy with allies, and how possible is that for him to pull off?

I think he is going to try. I think that is possible, if he is willing to find people who are willing to deal with Congress and the press and other governments in something other than an angry and conspiratorial way. Anything lower down requires experience with policy areas, whether it’s a country or region or an area like proliferation or counterterrorism. Most of the people in those policy areas have a body of knowledge, which Trump seems to mistrust. If there is a resentment of all expertise, then it is hard to get experts.

And:

Why can’t he staff these positions with Stephen Miller and Steve Bannon types?

The problem is that those nonexperts are going to have trouble winning support from the congressional committees, which know a little bit about the areas they are working on; from foreign governments that may know about the Middle East or Asia a little more; from journalists who cover particular areas. You won’t have a policy if you don’t have people who can draw up a policy.

Let’s hope so.

And I like this exchange:

Maybe things will start running more smoothly.

It could hardly run less smoothly.

Resources and links of use to the left Thread – Week 8, 2017 February 24, 2017

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We’re looking for links/resources useful to the Left at Starkadders suggestion. This can be archives, support groups, study groups, whatever people think can assist in building up a stack of easily accessible tools necessary to the tasks ahead. Perhaps keep articles – unless they’re longform, to the What You Want to Say thread.

Those UK By-Elections… February 24, 2017

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So Labour lose in Copeland to the Tories but hold off UKIP in Stoke.
A mixed bag for Labour with the real winners being the Tories in both winning Copeland and polling well in Stoke. UKIP seen off in both , although you’d have to think that they probably couldn’t have come up with a worse candidate than Nuttall with all the publicity over all sorts of lies he told.
Corbyn safe for another while and The Tories on the rise.

Mick Moodys Birthday ….. February 24, 2017

Posted by irishelectionliterature in Uncategorized.
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In 1989 former Rovers, Bohs, Pats, Shels, Bray, Home Farm and Drogheda stalwart Mick Moody arrested Adam Clayton. Today is Micks Birthday and an excuse to post this….

Of course the League starts this evening too! Hoping Rovers can start with a win in Dundalk!

This Week At Irish Election Literature February 24, 2017

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A “Disband The Artane Band” leaflet from Mannix Flynn

“Brexit: Our Response” a leaflet from Fine Gael TD Alan Farrell outlining the Governments response to Brexit

1992 Dick Spring Speech On “Abortion And The Right To Life”

An Assembly Elections leaflet from the DUP

The Assembly Elections February 23, 2017

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Just a week away and whatever happens there will be 18 seats lost, due to the reduction of MLAs from 108 to 90, with each constituency now returning 5 rather than 6 MLAs.
For the Left Gerry Carroll of PBP looks safe in West Belfast and even has a running mate, although it would be a shock if they were to win a second seat here. Eamonn McCann in Foyle is their other sitting MLA and on paper should be in severe danger as he only scraped in the last time. However talking to a few people I know in Derry they reckon he will be safe especially as Martin McGuinness is not standing.
Elsewhere it’s hard to see PBP, The Workers’ Party or Cross Community Labour Alliance winning a seat although there may be some gains and an advance to winning Council seats in 2019.
With RHI it was assumed that the DUP may not fare too well, that was until UUP leader Mike Nesbitt called for transfers to the SDLP rather than the DUP! It later emerged that he hadn’t discussed it with his party or indeed The SDLP! It was music to the DUP who to relegate the RHI scandal have gone on their traditional sectarian campaign. The DUP will still lose seats but anything over 33 seats (they won 38 last year) can be described as a good day for them.
The UUP seem to have messed up by forgetting the Unionist part in their name. They could have capitalised on RHI but ended up not doing so. Nesbitt will be in trouble if they get less than 13 seats.
Sinn Fein will lose a few seats , at least 3. Again it will be interesting to see if the RHI scandal rubs off on them and of course how they do under new leader Michelle O’Neill.
The SDLP should hold most of their 12 seats , Big battles with Sinn Fein in Foyle and South Down and other tight ones like Fermanagh South Tyrone. Any more than 1 lost seat won’t be good news for them.
The Alliance should hold their 8 seats but holding the second in East Belfast may be a struggle.
Elsewhere the TUV will be hoping to make gains at the DUPs expense over RHI, although it’s hard to see exactly where they may be. The Greens will be hoping to hold on to their 2 seats. UKIP could be in with a shout of their first seat in East Antrim too.
Most parties will be hoping that apathy isn’t the winner and that turnout is decent.

Unequal relationships February 23, 2017

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Alan Dukes, who I’m no fan of at all, still manages to make a point in the SBP at the weekend on Brexit and indeed Irexit which is well worth reiterating when arguing that even in the event of an ‘hard exit’ of the UK from the EU it would still make sense for Ireland to remain as a member of the EU for the moment.

The alternative would be to exist in order effectively to enter into a new bilateral realationship with Britain. trade agreements with Britain in 1948 and 1963 were heavily weighted in Britain’s favour because of the relative sizes of the two partners. Notwithstanding the huge improvement in Anglo-Irish relations since 1973, any future relationship would continue to be uneven and unequal.

It’s an obvious element of the mix but one that sometimes seems to escape discussion. And:

A substantial part of the reason for joining the EEC with Britain and Denmark in 1973 was to escape from the difficulties of such an unequal relationship.

And he continues that an exit by this state would immediately require an exit from the euro, and subsequent to that…

A new correct would have to be constructed, raising the question of the relationship with sterling; independence or common currency area?

And so it would begin, the not so slow re-orientation of this state towards Britain.

As to the financial chaos that would likely ensue…

Men of the people? February 23, 2017

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Arron Banks [the UKIP donor] told BBC Radio 5 Live that he stuck by what he said on Twitter when he defended Nuttall, a candidate in the Stoke-on-Trent byelection this week.“It’s a Labour smear campaign,” Banks said. “Yes, I am sick to death of hearing about Hillsborough. The politicisation of it by the Labour party is atrocious. I know the people up in Liverpool probably get hot under the collar for those comments, but as far as I’m concerned, I stick by what I said.”Of Hillsborough, Banks said it was “wrong it was covered up … but for the Labour party to politicise it was a disgrace”.

Yeah. But no. If Nuttall is going to make an issue of it, to use it as a token of something, having reference to it on his own website then he’s the one who is politicising it from the get go.

Signs of Hope – A continuing series, Week 8, February 2017 February 23, 2017

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Gewerkschaftler suggested this recently:

I suggest this blog should have a regular (weekly) slot where people can post happenings at the personal or political level that gives them hope that we’re perhaps not going to hell in a handbasket as quickly as we thought. Or as the phlegmatic Germans put it “hope dies last”.

Any contributions this week?

Vague February 23, 2017

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Meanwhile, just on Enda Kenny, did anyone else think this habitual master at kicking things to touch might just have pulled it off once more. The meeting at which he is supposed to resolve all last night hears him in ‘respectful’ silence as he announces all will be revealed the far side of March! Cue ovation. And he is gone.

He told his party he was committed to meeting Brexit and other challenges and that he was dedicated to avoiding any course of action that might damage the party or the country.

And:

He said he intended to address the issue of his leadership shortly after his return from Washington for St Patrick’s Day celebrations next month and would deal with it effectively and conclusively.

Perhaps he’ll tell them he wants to stay a few months longer. Or a few months longer again. But that’s okay. It’s Fine Gael! And…

Those present said he spoke with seriousness and authority and drew applause from the 70 or so present.

So that’s alright so!

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