Fiscal Treaty Referendum Poll Result… April 19, 2012Posted by WorldbyStorm in European Politics, Irish Politics.
The outcome of the European stability treaty referendum on May 31st is wide open, according to the latest Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI poll which shows the result is in the hands of undecided voters.
Asked whether they were likely to vote Yes or No to the treaty, 30 per cent of voters said Yes, 23 per cent said No, 39 per cent were undecided and 8 per cent said they would not vote. When undecided voters, and those who won’t vote, are excluded the Yes side is ahead by 58 per cent to 42 per cent but the outcome hinges on the attitude of the currently undecided voters.
That’s less than seemed to be indicated in other polls on this matter.
It’s not difficult to think up reasons why there would remain a cohesive bloc of voters against the proposals. Household tax, water tax and so on and so forth even if not primary reasons for inducing scepticism above and beyond the sort of rhetoric emanating from the EU and the ECB and the actual events of the past three or four years, and that’s before we get to an analysis of the measures the Treaty seeks to introduce.
All of which is hugely problematic for the Government because it cannot exactly take any of those issues off the table.
By the way:
The details of today’s poll show that the Yes campaign has strong backing from middle-class voters and farmers but working-class voters are opposed to it by a large margin.
What is their definition of ‘class’ in this context? Is it the old marketing approach? Why, yes, it is – further on it mentions ‘AB’ voters.
IELB adding this
The Government Site stabilitytreaty.ie . Note how it has changed from Fiscal Treaty to a Stability Treaty.