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Government support after the European elections May 30, 2019

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Uncategorized.
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I’d a post about the situation as regards government support and stability after the EU election. For example can FG or FF hold the Kelleher/Fitzgerald seats and can the opposition hold the Daly/Wallace seats? Any thoughts?

But wait, there’s more! Just this morning news that even newer developments may cause yet further problems…

The speculation on Wednesday night was that, when the European elections are complete, there will be 154 members of the Dáil thanks to the departure to Brussels of Clare Daly, Billy Kelleher, Frances Fitzgerald and probably Mick Wallace.

Fine Gael would need a majority of 56 votes in this case. With the Fine Gael party, the Independent Alliance, Independents Katherine Zappone, Seán Canney and Noel Grealish, the Government has 55 votes currently. Add in the guaranteed support of Michael Lowry and the regular support of Denis Naughten, and the number climbs to 57. Without Ms Bailey, the Government would be more reliant on Lowry and Naughten than ever before.

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1. Alibaba - May 31, 2019

The government will be on very shaky grounds if it awaits the outcome of by-elections. It does not wish to give Sinn Féin time to grow itself again and Fianna Fáil would be happy with this prospect as well. Moreover they don’t want to gift the Green Party the time to get more candidates running for election next time round. And less time for the fragmented and fractious Left will do very nicely too. Varadkar is a risk-taker, though it has to be an early general election, I suppose.

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