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Is Brian Cowen a deep cover agent for an opposition party? January 20, 2011

Posted by WorldbyStorm in Economy, Irish Politics, The Left.
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I’ve got to ask the question. Someone has to.

“I challenge the politically correct view that it was for the purpose of a stunt. Far from it,” [Brian Cowen] said. “What this election is about is the future of this country.”

Politically correct view’? WTF?

Walking along the street today I met someone today who asked me what was up with the resignations. That this person was a lot closer to the events than I made me smile.

Let’s start by acknowledging that on certain levels none of this is hugely important to the left, except – and this is important – as how it impacts upon the prospects of left candidates in a few weeks time. And it does. It really does, because a weaker Brian Cowen and a weaker Fianna Fáil offers an opportunity.

And my God, what we saw today was a comprehensive weakening by the man whose leadership was confirmed but a few days ago.

Who could predict this? A day in which surely the most botched cabinet reshuffle in Irish history took place. Where, as Enda Kenny noted on the lunchtime news the Tanaiste was unaware who was the Minister of Justice. Where the date of the election, March 11, was forced to the surface.

This goes beyond abysmal.

Equally abysmal was Cowen’s proto-electioneering rhetoric (shouting actually) in the Dáil chamber. And still (at 2.00pm precisely) talking about ‘this party’. Completely forgetting that he was the head of a Government who was in the process of allocating Ministerial positions.

There’s a fair bit of hot air about the ‘dignity’ of offices and institutions, but this, this was unseemly.

So as noted before this Government totters out with a skeleton Cabinet and not a lot else.

Anyhow, this seems to me to be yet further evidence of Fianna Fáil’s, or is it Brian Cowen’s, utter inability to read the public mood. A weekend and couple of days wasted, as the public sees it, on the leadership of a party where the wheels are in the process of falling off is followed by two days of resignations.

To what purpose? What was it all in aid of? A manipulation most likely. No better. To put new faces into cabinet, presumably in an entirely cosmetic effort to scrub up the party in the run-up to the election.

Didn’t anyone tell Cowen that this might be too little too late? Not least given that he’s the man who will be leading this ‘new’ team? Or that it would be so obvious that it could be turned immediately against him.

And as for his much vaunted – by some – bruising abilities in electoral contests, is it seriously contended that that will wash away the preceding years of indecision, ineptitude and, most bizarre of all, cowering from the public gaze? If the Dáil rhetoric is anything to go by he’s locked into 2007, not 2011. That may change, he may improve, but on today’s performance it doesn’t seem likely.

The door of the bunker has yawned open, and peering in, as was predictable, there’s nothing edifying to see there.

A Taoiseach who yet again prioritises party over country… amazing.

That everyone outside the bunker sees it differently is neither here nor there. The change of generals is displacement activity, indulged in precisely because the captains and the troops are fading away.

Though there’s also something crafty about ‘blooding’ the next generation so that they too will have some ownership of the previous years. It will be most interesting if any refuse the offer of cabinet positions. But given that every FF candidate, whether a sitting TD, Minister or otherwise, must have at least some doubt gnawing away at them as to the true state of the polls… well, who’d really relish the risk.

Moreover I had half a mind that we might see a slight resurgence in the FF polling numbers after the leadership ‘excitement’ abated. Nothing much, but just a little.

Next Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday at least one polling company will be enquiring as to opinions. If FF registers any upward movement… well…

Or as was said on the RTÉ extended news on lunchtime there must be more than one TD wondering about the vote they cast for leader earlier in the week.

This is shoddy stuff, unconvincing I suspect even to their own.

It’s an odd sort of genius that can, at almost every turn, make a situation worse for himself and his party. An odd sort of party that voted to retain such genius this week. An odd sort of a Dáil that continues – in part – to sustain them, a truncated Cabinet, in power even for the truncated period ahead.

Comments»

1. ec - January 20, 2011

Cowen’s political head is bouncing around on the floor. The brain is dead. The body is still perambulating and at this stage banging into random stuff. Next up – some death rattles.

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sonofstan - January 20, 2011

There are times when only horror and the gothic provide any kind of model of what’s going on- at moments like this, only the exaggerations are true.

To provide any notion of what this undead government is doing, or just of what it ‘is’ you need to be able to talk about zombies and vampires, not as a far-flung metaphor, but as truth.

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Pope Epopt - January 20, 2011

They are not even ‘fast’ 21-Days-Later neo-zombies. They have all the agility and colour of ‘Night of the Living Dead’.

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Pope Epopt - January 20, 2011

…variety.

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Pope Epopt - January 20, 2011

Which should of course be 28 Days Later. I should stop pretending I know anything about popular culture.

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WorldbyStorm - January 20, 2011

I’m not mad keen on horror films to be honest.

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sonofstan - January 20, 2011

@WbS

To paraphrase Peter Cook (about sex and violence in the theatre): ‘why should I go to a cinema to see the undead walking the land, when I can get all that for free watching the news?’

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WorldbyStorm - January 20, 2011

There’s that.

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EWI - January 20, 2011

@ WbS

I’m not the greatest fan myself, but “The Walking Dead” (comic and series) is pretty good. The real horror in it isn’t because of the undead, but the actions of the still-living (which I think is a very astute observation).

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WorldbyStorm - January 20, 2011

I’ll give it a look, and a read. To be honest I’m working through the hard back edition of the comic Ex Machina, have you read it?

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EWI - January 20, 2011

I haven’t. Who’s the writer?

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WorldbyStorm - January 21, 2011

Brian vaughn.

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Joe - January 21, 2011

There was a Us zombie teenager TV series about 25 years ago. I only remember one scene which I found very funny:

Boy (zombie) to girl (not): “But why can’t we be together? Is it because I’m dead?”

Next week:
FF candidate to voter: “But why won’t you vote for me? Is it because I’m dead?”

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2. Paddy Matthews - January 20, 2011

Nick Coffey on Drivetime has obviously been reading this article 🙂

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WorldbyStorm - January 20, 2011

What’d he say?

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Paddy Matthews - January 20, 2011

Pretty much the heading of the post – that you’d wonder if he could have done more damage if he’d been a double agent.

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Worldbystorm - January 20, 2011

Ha! Wait, that’s not necessarily funny!
🙂

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RosencrantzisDead - January 21, 2011

Vincent Browne has taken a similar theme: he thinks the stunt was cooked up by Fianna Fail people who were fearful of winning too many seats. They all want to spend time with their families, don’t ya know.

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3. Chet Carter - January 20, 2011

@ SoS To provide any notion of what this undead government is doing, or just of what it ‘is’ you need to be able to talk about zombies and vampires, not as a far-flung metaphor, but as truth.

Gombies!

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sonofstan - January 20, 2011

🙂

We have a movie!

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4. Jim Monaghan - January 20, 2011

I am now convinced that SF will be the official opposition. We need ULA as the Left opposition.

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irishelectionliterature - January 20, 2011

Not once have I heard on the airwaves Sinn Fein being challenged for the inconsistency between their actions as part of the government in Stormont and their actions in the Republic.
Here its “Stop The Cuts” , in Stormont its them making the cuts.

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Crocodile - January 20, 2011

Mary Lou was challenged in exactly those terms on Today with PK this morning. Her reply was that Tory cuts are to blame in NI, not SF. And she was badly embarrassed by Pat Rabbitte, who made her claim that SF had voted against the first bank guarantee, when it was the work of seconds to confirm they hadn’t.

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5. Local Yokel - January 20, 2011

Deep Throat 2 – assuming you can get past those lips.

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6. Crocodile - January 20, 2011

Ed Miliband lost one front-bench spokesman today and the British media are painting it in apocalyptic terms (‘hugely embarrassing’ etc). He has a lot to learn from Cowen.

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7. De Northside Socialist - January 20, 2011

“I have never seen a situation so dismal that a policeman couldn’t make it worse.”
Brendan Behan

Brian Cowen displays an incredible sense of entitlement in relation to his seat in the Dail and his leadership of FF and if it could be described as such, his leadership of the country.

His charmless, rude ineptitude, convinces me at least, that he is not a mole or provocateur, destroying FF from within. Perhaps his next job could be the policeman from Behan’s quote above.

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DC - January 21, 2011

all that guff about what a tough guy and a fighter he was over the weekend went to his head. he tried a stroke and it backfired. RIP Brian Cowen, political leader.

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8. Niall - January 20, 2011

Talk about winning the battle but losing the war . . .

Any chance the Greens will get any credit for this?

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WorldbyStorm - January 20, 2011

Seems unlikely. What do you think?

By the way De Northside Socialist. That’s it entirely… ‘entitlement’. Bizarre.

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9. EWI - January 20, 2011

I expect that the next step is for the entire Fianna Fáil party to resign the whip to run as ‘rebels’.

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Chet Carter - January 21, 2011

EWI – you are on to something there! Knowing FF TDs they will vote through the IMF/EU bailout then campaign against it in the election saying it is selling out the sovereignty of ‘De Oirish people’.

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10. AlexP - January 20, 2011

B Cowen – SFWP Group C operative 457 – please come home your mission is complete

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WorldbyStorm - January 20, 2011

🙂 or should that be 😉

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Ghandi - January 21, 2011

success at last,

sorry don’t know how to put in a smiley

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11. RepublicanSocialist1798 - January 20, 2011

At this stage I’ll believe anything about Cowen.

BTW Is there anyone who doesn’t believe that the confidence motion was just smokescreen?

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12. Tomboktu - January 21, 2011

And my God, what we saw today was a comprehensive weakening by the man whose leadership was confirmed but a few days ago.

He won that through a series of one-to-one meetings. Let’s do the sums: five vacancies at the cabinet table planned, and then Micheál Martin gives Cowen a sixth: that’s six juniors moving up to the cabinet, and seven backbenchers to give juniors to (assuming Mary Wallace was told to follow the example of Ahern et al. and resign to make way). Not a bit of wonder he won that vote.

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13. The shock of not being spun or bad spinning - January 21, 2011

[…] legitimacy. Junior Minister Ciaran Cuffe writes about his day. Worldbystorm is wondering too about how someone can get it so wrong. Niall O’Dowd announces the end of Europes most sucessfull political party on the Huffington […]

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14. steve white - January 21, 2011

don’t full life governments usually do a reshuffle 6 months before an election, that’s not much better but aleast there theres a chance that those people might get back into those positions, not this time, but was it really unexpected?, it seems the greens by calling it in November have nobbled ff attempts at renewal, while they may have had time before the end of the year to change leader and ministers, but it doesn’t matter what happens to them in the next dail they won’t be in government,it was this dail term that mattered and they allowed ff to try and cover up the mistakes that were apparent before the last general election, to try and bail out their friends making the economic crisis even worse.
Joan Collins said on vinb last night that “this year was lost” as she was a bit confused and couldn’t explain where she’d get the money this year even though she basically saying the same thing as the two rightwing economists on either side of her, orderly default.

what about the finance bill, its larger and smaller implications

i don’t see it as much good news for the left if al that seems to be accepted and this is whats they’re crowing about http://irishelectionliterature.wordpress.com/2011/01/20/kick-fianna-fail-out-leaflet-from-cian-prendiville-socialist-party-limerick-city-2011-ge/

‘kick fianna fail out’, talk about pushing on an open door, how f’ing irrelevant

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15. Pope Epopt - January 21, 2011

On reflection, the whole debacle might just be the result of two linguistic registers passing each other in the night. It’s quite possible that there was a genuine misunderstanding – or perhaps the Greens were laying a cunning trap?

Gormley says “I don’t think that would be a good idea.”, and in Green circles this would be taken as a pretty firm “No”. Had he truly wanted to be understood he would have said: “No way, get the feck away out of that, ye hoor ya.”

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Joe - January 21, 2011

Plausible.

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sonofstan - January 21, 2011

Plausible, but it doesn’t excuse Cowen for trying it on in the first place, or for thinking it would do anything other than prove that strokes -rather than planning and policy and government- are his level.

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16. Chet Carter - January 21, 2011

Mr Gilmore said Ireland must now “concentrate on the future” and called on the public to elect a Labour-led government “driven by the concerns of the many, not the insider few”.

While Cowen is busy destroying FF it’s a bit worrying that the leader of the Labour Party is relying on old Tony Blair riffs.

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