Pro or anti-austerity, which is more important? October 2, 2013
Posted by WorldbyStorm in Economy, Irish Politics.trackback
Is it me or is the way the IT reported their latest poll very strange? The headline was:
Third of voters say €3.1bn budget target should be retained
The subhead:
Irish Times poll reveals 50% in favour of lower retrenchment
And the text starts:
More than one-third of voters accept the need for sharp fiscal cuts, saying the Government should stick with or increase the €3.1 billion target in Budget 2014, according to opinion poll findings for The Irish Times and Ipsos MRBI.
Followed by:
With the budget due on Tuesday week, 50 per cent of respondents said the Coalition should retrench by less than €3.1 billion.
And then:
In spite of a number of austere budgets, 32 per cent said this target for 2014 should be maintained, and 4 per cent said the Government should go higher than €3.1 billion. Some 14 per cent did not know.
It really is an odd to place the 32% ahead of the 50%, isn’t it? But the problem is a majority of voters don’t accept the need for sharp fiscal cuts (on top of others over the past five or six years, almost needless to say).
There’s been talk of soft social democracy and it’s interesting to consider the following:
The poll suggests a majority of Fine Gael voters would maintain or increase the €3.1 billion target. Some 46 per cent believe the Government should meet this objective and another 4 per cent would increase it.
Some 41 per cent want a lower adjustment. Among Labour and Fianna Fáil voters, there was but a small majority for less retrenchment; 45 per cent of Labour voters want the Government to go below €3.1 billion, but 35 per cent said the target should be delivered. Some 7 per cent would increase it. While 50 per cent of Fianna Fáil voters would reduce the €3.1 billion, 37 per cent would meet the target, and 5 per cent would increase it.
Only Sinn Féin voters were overwhelmingly in favour of lower retrenchment; 67 per cent seeking an adjustment below €3.1 billion.
Lest we forget. Last budget RedC said 88% support increased tax on earnings over €100k, and 67% said this should be done before other measures. Sunday Business Post gave it one sentence of coverage.
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actually I was expecting the next part of the polling to come out today… covering people’s opinions on what kind of tax increases they’d prefer to see. did that get lost somewhere?
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I noticed that headline choice myself. It’s a familiar story in terms of any recent economic story in the Times.
With apologies to The Simpsons, it’s great that there’s a newspaper that’s not afraid to tell us that everything’s great!
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Saturday’s piece on the ‘Crisis in Spain’ was a classic in that genre; every person interviewed were all happy enough, fancy that! And then we have the regular ‘not all emigration is forced, some emigrants are thriving’ stories to reassure us.
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I just laughed when I saw it.
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I guess it’s like SonofStan said earlier in the week in relation to the party polling stuff… “Nothing scares the IT more than the idea that people might know their own minds.”
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Such wonderful insight!
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From an IT perspective
The majority of people (still) support one of the establishment parties. The headline reinforces those parties.
Even some of their readers who support those parties but have their doubts about the policy feel included!
The FGers who read the paper feel happy that the majority of supporters of the “acceptable” political parties (even FF, bless us and save us!) understand the need for the policy.
Labour readers of the paper feel happy that more of “their” party supporters want a lower adjustment, and feel some moral superiority about the issue.
FF readers of the paper feel happy on both sides of the fence. 50% against austerity is pretty progressive for those who want to see it like that, and the rest of them know that it is just opposition for the sake of opposition.
From a commercial/sales point of view, they’ve played it perfectly.
Did anybody expect anything else?.
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But it’s so blatant! Surely someone there has a sense of shame?
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